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Site launch

Posted on February 9, 2017March 17, 2017 by Max Barry

Welcome to Squiggle! The idea is to gather the most interesting AFL modeling and data analysis from around the web.

Participating sites:

  • The Arc
  • Figuring Footy
  • Matter of Stats
  • FootyMaths Institute

Squiggle bots continually poll these sites and other sources for the latest probability estimates, creating Squiggle Dials for an at-a-glance summary of who’s tipping what.

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Wins % Range
1
Fremantle 19.8 143%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
1
2
Sydney 17.0 132%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
2
3
Hawthorn 16.0 124%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
3
4
Brisbane Lions 15.5 120%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
4
5
Adelaide 14.6 116%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
5–6
6
Geelong 14.1 122%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
5–9
7
Melbourne 14.0 107%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
6–8
8
Western Bulldogs 13.9 97%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
6–9
9
Collingwood 13.4 107%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
8–9
10
St Kilda 11.4 107%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
10
11
Carlton 10.5 92%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
11–12
12
GWS 10.3 100%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
11–12
13
North Melbourne 8.9 86%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
13–14
14
Gold Coast 8.4 93%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
13–15
15
Port Adelaide 7.9 96%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
14–15
16
West Coast 5.1 71%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
16
17
Essendon 2.7 65%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
17–18
18
Richmond 2.9 62%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
17–18

After Round 20, 2026.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
Fremantle 17 2 – 146.0%
+2.8
1
2
Sydney 14 5 – 130.0%
+3.0
2
3
Hawthorn 13 5 1 124.0%
+2.5
3
4
Brisbane Lions 13 6 – 120.6%
+2.5
4
5
Adelaide 12 7 – 113.7%
+2.6
5
6
Melbourne 12 7 – 107.8%
+2.0
7
7
Western Bulldogs 12 7 – 96.8%
+1.9
8
8
Collingwood 11 7 1 107.7%
+1.9
9
9
Geelong 11 8 – 116.5%
+3.1
6
10
St Kilda 9 10 – 105.8%
+2.4
10
11
Carlton 9 10 – 92.4%
+1.5
11
12
GWS 8 11 – 98.3%
+2.3
12
13
North Melbourne 8 11 – 89.6%
+0.9
13
14
Gold Coast 7 12 – 94.8%
+1.4
14
15
Port Adelaide 6 13 – 95.6%
+1.9
15
16
West Coast 4 15 – 70.1%
+1.1
16
17
Essendon 2 17 – 65.4%
+0.7
17
18
Richmond 2 17 – 60.9%
+0.9
18

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Drop Kick Data

3 7 5 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 6 5 4 6 5 6 5 8 7 7

131 42.6924 42.69 24.8156 24.82 76.6082 76.6%
ZaphBot

2 7 5 6 5 8 7 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 6 6 6 8 8 8

130 44.5723 44.57 25.3743 25.37 76.0234 76.0%
Wheelo Ratings

3 7 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 8 6 8

129 41.3549 41.35 24.4277 24.43 75.4386 75.4%
Holy Grail Ratings

4 8 5 6 4 8 8 8 7 7 5 6 4 6 6 5 5 5 9 6 7

129 28.8962 28.90 25.1774 25.18 75.4386 75.4%
s10

2 8 5 5 5 8 8 7 8 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8

127 43.8119 43.81 24.8736 24.87 74.2690 74.3%
AFLalytics

4 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 7 8 5 5 5 4 6 5 6 5 9 6 8

127 42.4921 42.49 25.0103 25.01 74.2690 74.3%
Punters

2 6 4 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 5 4 5 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8

126 43.4799 43.48 24.9319 24.93 73.6842 73.7%
Aggregate

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8

126 41.4053 41.41 24.9328 24.93 73.6842 73.7%
Glicko Ratings

3 7 5 5 6 8 8 7 8 8 5 5 4 4 5 5 6 5 8 6 8

126 38.5802 38.58 25.3985 25.40 73.6842 73.7%
Don't Blame the Data

2 7 5 6 5 8 8 7 7 8 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8

125 44.8103 44.81 25.3112 25.31 73.0994 73.1%
Informed Stats

2 7 4 5 5 6 8 7 8 7 5 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 8 8 8

125 41.4430 41.44 25.3509 25.35 73.0994 73.1%
What Snoo Thinks

3 8 5 6 4 6 8 8 7 7 6 5 3 4 7 6 5 5 8 6 8

125 38.4788 38.48 25.4777 25.48 73.0994 73.1%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 5 6 5 6 7 7 7 9 5 5 4 5 6 5 5 5 8 6 8

124 41.9194 41.92 26.1754 26.18 72.5146 72.5%
AFL Lab

2 7 4 6 6 7 8 7 6 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8

124 39.3719 39.37 25.7809 25.78 72.5146 72.5%
Matter of Stats

3 7 5 6 5 7 7 8 8 7 5 4 3 4 6 5 6 5 8 6 8

123 42.2078 42.21 25.4438 25.44 71.9298 71.9%
Winnable

1 7 4 5 5 7 7 8 7 8 5 5 4 5 6 5 6 6 8 6 8

123 41.1191 41.12 24.9658 24.97 71.9298 71.9%
footycharts

3 7 5 6 5 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 5 5 5 6 5 8 6 8

122 40.5968 40.60 25.1098 25.11 71.3450 71.3%
Stattraction

2 6 5 6 4 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 4 6 5 6 5 5 8 6 8

122 40.0703 40.07 25.2091 25.21 71.3450 71.3%
PlusSixOne

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 8 5 5 6 5 5 6 6 6 7 6 7

122 37.3784 37.38 25.1427 25.14 71.3450 71.3%
Cheap Stats

3 5 3 7 6 7 8 8 8 9 5 5 4 4 5 4 5 5 8 6 7

122 31.7547 31.75 26.2118 26.21 †1 71.7647 71.8%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 5 5 6 8 7 8 8 5 5 5 4 5 6 5 5 8 5 7

121 38.0017 38.00 26.4224 26.42 †2 71.5976 71.6%
HBin

4 7 5 5 4 6 8 7 7 8 5 4 3 4 5 5 5 6 8 7 8

121 37.7346 37.73 25.3450 25.34 70.7602 70.8%
The Footycast

2 7 4 5 5 5 8 7 7 7 5 5 5 4 6 5 6 6 8 7 7

121 32.9273 32.93 25.7041 25.70 70.7602 70.8%
Live Ladders

2 7 5 5 5 7 8 7 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 4 5 5 8 6 8

119 38.1063 38.11 25.7778 25.78 69.5906 69.6%
In The Game

2 6 4 5 5 7 8 8 7 7 5 5 5 4 5 4 6 5 7 6 7

118 39.3132 39.31 26.4903 26.49 69.0058 69.0%
Graft

3 7 4 6 4 5 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 4 5 5 5 5 8 6 8

118 37.5821 37.58 26.4561 26.46 69.0058 69.0%
Squiggle

1 7 5 5 5 6 7 8 6 7 5 5 4 4 6 5 5 5 8 5 8

117 35.8795 35.88 25.6139 25.61 68.4211 68.4%
Elo Predicts!

3 6 4 4 4 4 7 7 7 9 5 5 3 5 5 6 6 5 8 6 8

117 35.3955 35.40 26.6491 26.65 68.4211 68.4%
Hyperion

3 5 4 5 5 8 7 7 9 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 9 7 8

117 34.9882 34.99 25.9074 25.91 †9 72.2222 72.2%
AFL Scorigami

3 7 5 5 6 6 7 8 8 6 6 5 2 4 5 4 5 5 7 6 7

117 32.1208 32.12 26.7903 26.79 68.4211 68.4%
Massey Ratings

2 4 5 8 8 7 9 5 5 4 4 6 5 6 5 8 7 8

106 37.5951 37.60 26.1438 26.14 †25 72.6027 72.6%

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Friends of Squiggle

  • Live Ladders
  • Matter of Stats
  • HPN
  • FMI
  • Wheelo Ratings
  • AFLalytics
  • AFL Lab
  • PlusSixOne
  • Graft
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  • Cheap Stats
  • Figuring Footy
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  • Data by Josh
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  • Drop Kick Data
  • Hyperion
  • footycharts
  • Winnable
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  • Informed Stats
  • HBin
  • Holy Grail Ratings
  • In The Game
  • The Flag
  • The Arc
  • Figuring Footy
  • BigFooty

About Squiggle

Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. By Max Barry.

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