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Posted on February 9, 2017March 17, 2017 by Max Barry

Welcome to Squiggle! The idea is to gather the most interesting AFL modeling and data analysis from around the web.

Participating sites:

  • The Arc
  • Figuring Footy
  • Matter of Stats
  • FootyMaths Institute

Squiggle bots continually poll these sites and other sources for the latest probability estimates, creating Squiggle Dials for an at-a-glance summary of who’s tipping what.

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Wins % Range
1
 Melbourne 15.7 128%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2
 Geelong 15.2 125%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–3
3
 Brisbane Lions 15.0 120%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–5
4
 Sydney 14.3 120%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–6
5
 Fremantle 14.3 115%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–6
6
 Carlton 14.1 110%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–8
7
 Richmond 13.3 118%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–8
8
 Collingwood 13.4 107%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7–10
9
 Western Bulldogs 12.4 116%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–9
10
 Gold Coast 11.9 112%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–12
11
 St Kilda 11.9 104%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–11
12
 Port Adelaide 10.9 103%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–12
13
 Adelaide 8.4 89%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–14
14
 Hawthorn 8.0 91%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–14
15
 GWS 7.0 90%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15
16
 Essendon 6.1 83%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16
17
 West Coast 3.5 60%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17
18
 North Melbourne 2.3 57%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After Round 15, 2022.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Melbourne 11 3 – 139.2%
+4.7
1
2
 Geelong 10 4 – 125.6%
+5.2
2
3
 Brisbane Lions 10 4 – 124.9%
+5.0
3
4
 Fremantle 10 4 – 122.6%
+4.3
5
5
 Carlton 10 4 – 114.6%
+4.1
6
6
 Sydney 9 5 – 119.5%
+5.3
4
7
 Collingwood 9 5 – 106.0%
+4.4
8
8
 Western Bulldogs 8 6 – 120.9%
+4.4
9
9
 Richmond 8 6 – 116.2%
+5.3
7
10
 St Kilda 8 6 – 107.3%
+3.9
11
11
 Gold Coast 7 7 – 110.5%
+4.9
10
12
 Port Adelaide 7 7 – 105.1%
+3.9
12
13
 Adelaide 5 9 – 85.5%
+3.4
13
14
 GWS 4 10 – 90.9%
+3.0
15
15
 Hawthorn 4 10 – 85.6%
+4.0
14
16
 Essendon 3 11 – 78.6%
+3.1
16
17
 West Coast 2 12 – 55.8%
+1.5
17
18
 North Melbourne 1 13 – 52.2%
+1.3
18

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
PlusSixOne

5 6 7 6 7 8 5 7 7 6 8 5 5 5 8

95 16.88 26.84 75.4%
s10

5 6 8 6 6 8 5 7 6 7 7 4 5 4 8

92 21.24 25.66 73.0%
Massey Ratings

5 6 6 6 7 8 5 7 7 6 8 3 5 5 8

92 20.22 26.23 73.0%
Live Ladders

5 6 7 6 6 7 6 7 6 7 7 4 5 5 7

91 22.76 25.79 72.2%
AFLalytics

4 6 6 6 6 8 6 7 7 6 7 4 5 5 8

91 22.59 25.11 72.2%
AFL Lab

4 6 7 5 6 8 7 8 6 6 7 3 5 5 8

91 22.54 25.72 72.2%
The Cruncher

6 6 7 7 5 7 6 7 6 6 6 4 5 5 8

91 17.54 27.26 72.2%
Data by Josh

5 6 7 5 7 8 5 8 6 6 7 3 5 5 7

90 24.13 24.87 71.4%
Squiggle

5 4 7 6 7 8 5 6 6 7 7 5 5 4 8

90 21.46 25.43 71.4%
Graft

5 6 6 6 6 8 5 7 6 6 7 4 5 5 8

90 19.11 26.20 71.4%
AFL Scorigami

5 7 7 6 6 8 5 7 7 6 7 3 5 4 7

90 18.86 26.47 71.4%
The Flag

6 6 6 4 7 8 6 7 7 7 7 4 4 4 6

89 16.76 26.37 70.6%
Hyperion

5 6 7 5 6 7 5 7 6 6 7 4 5 5 8

89 16.22 26.85 70.6%
Aggregate

5 5 7 6 6 8 5 7 6 6 7 3 5 4 8

88 20.55 25.70 69.8%
Glicko Ratings

4 5 7 5 6 7 5 7 6 7 7 4 5 5 8

88 17.06 26.94 69.8%
Drop Kick Data

4 6 7 6 6 8 5 7 6 6 7 3 5 4 8

88 16.88 26.79 69.8%
FMI

5 6 7 6 5 6 6 7 6 6 6 4 5 5 8

88 14.11 26.77 69.8%
Punters

6 5 7 5 7 8 5 6 6 6 7 3 5 4 7

87 22.27 25.16 69.0%
The Footycast

4 6 7 5 6 8 5 7 6 7 7 3 5 4 7

87 20.09 25.59 69.0%
The Wooden Finger

5 6 7 6 5 8 5 7 6 6 6 3 5 5 7

87 15.98 26.99 69.0%
Stattraction

6 5 6 4 6 8 8 6 7 6 6 4 4 4 7

87 13.11 26.79 69.0%
Cheap Stats

6 5 6 4 6 8 5 7 7 6 7 3 5 4 7

86 20.87 26.26 68.3%
Elo Predicts!

6 4 6 4 6 8 5 7 6 6 6 5 5 4 8

86 14.24 26.72 68.3%
Wheelo Ratings

5 4 6 4 6 8 6 6 6 6 8 3 5 4 8

85 23.02 25.14 67.5%
Matter of Stats

4 5 6 5 7 8 5 6 6 6 6 4 5 4 7

84 22.79 25.11 66.7%
ZaphBot

5 5 6 4 7 7 5 7 5 6 8 2 3 3 8

81 14.87 27.33 64.3%

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About Squiggle

Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. By Max Barry.

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