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Posted on February 9, 2017March 17, 2017 by Max Barry

Welcome to Squiggle! The idea is to gather the most interesting AFL modeling and data analysis from around the web.

Participating sites:

  • The Arc
  • Figuring Footy
  • Matter of Stats
  • FootyMaths Institute

Squiggle bots continually poll these sites and other sources for the latest probability estimates, creating Squiggle Dials for an at-a-glance summary of who’s tipping what.

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Wins % Range
1
 Port Adelaide 14.0 136%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2
 Brisbane Lions 14.0 125%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2
3
 Richmond 12.5 130%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3
4
 Geelong 12.0 137%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4
5
 West Coast 12.0 117%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5
6
 St Kilda 10.0 116%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6
7
 Western Bulldogs 10.0 107%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7
8
 Collingwood 9.5 110%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8
9
 Melbourne 9.0 108%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9
10
 GWS 8.0 96%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10
11
 Carlton 7.0 94%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11
12
 Fremantle 7.0 94%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12
13
 Essendon 6.5 79%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13
14
 Gold Coast 5.5 91%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14
15
 Hawthorn 5.0 84%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15
16
 Sydney 5.0 83%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16
17
 North Melbourne 3.0 71%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17
18
 Adelaide 3.0 64%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After Round 20, 2020.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Port Adelaide 14 3 – 136.4%
+0.0
1
2
 Brisbane Lions 14 3 – 124.9%
+0.0
2
3
 Richmond 12 4 1 129.9%
+0.0
3
4
 Geelong 12 5 – 136.8%
+0.0
4
5
 West Coast 12 5 – 117.0%
+0.0
5
6
 St Kilda 10 7 – 116.2%
+0.0
6
7
 Western Bulldogs 10 7 – 106.7%
+0.0
7
8
 Collingwood 9 7 1 109.5%
+0.0
8
9
 Melbourne 9 8 – 107.8%
+0.0
9
10
 GWS 8 9 – 95.6%
+0.0
10
11
 Carlton 7 10 – 94.3%
+0.0
11
12
 Fremantle 7 10 – 93.7%
+0.0
12
13
 Essendon 6 10 1 79.2%
+0.0
13
14
 Gold Coast 5 11 1 90.6%
+0.0
14
15
 Hawthorn 5 12 – 84.1%
+0.0
15
16
 Sydney 5 12 – 82.6%
+0.0
16
17
 North Melbourne 3 14 – 71.2%
+0.0
17
18
 Adelaide 3 14 – 64.4%
+0.0
18

Live Squiggle

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Punters

7 5 4 5 8 6 8 7 6 6 7 5 9 7 4 6 5 8 1 2 0 1

117 27.11 22.77 72.2%
Squiggle

7 5 5 5 7 6 7 6 5 7 8 6 8 7 3 6 5 9 2 2 1 0

117 21.49 22.93 72.2%
AFLalytics

7 5 4 6 7 6 5 8 7 6 7 6 9 6 4 6 5 8 2 2 0 0

116 24.70 22.35 71.6%
s10

8 5 3 4 6 7 6 6 7 6 7 6 9 6 4 6 5 9 2 2 1 0

115 22.14 22.85 71.0%
AFL_GO

6 4 4 4 7 7 5 7 8 7 5 6 9 5 4 6 6 9 2 2 0 0

113 18.42 23.31 69.8%
Matter of Stats

6 5 4 4 5 7 7 6 7 6 7 6 9 6 3 6 5 9 1 2 1 0

112 23.53 23.16 69.1%
Aggregate

7 4 4 4 6 7 6 6 7 6 7 6 9 5 4 6 5 9 1 2 1 0

112 20.78 23.10 69.1%
Live Ladders

8 6 3 4 5 4 5 5 7 6 7 6 9 5 4 6 7 9 2 2 1 0

111 21.74 22.94 68.5%
PlusSixOne

8 5 3 6 7 8 3 5 8 5 8 6 9 6 3 5 3 8 2 2 1 0

111 13.81 23.45 68.5%
Footy Maths Institute

8 5 3 4 6 6 5 7 7 7 6 6 9 6 4 5 6 7 1 2 0 0

110 13.22 25.31 67.9%
Swinburne

8 4 3 5 5 7 5 6 8 6 6 5 8 5 4 5 7 8 1 2 0 0

108 19.31 24.58 66.7%
Graft

7 4 3 4 6 7 5 6 6 6 8 6 8 6 4 5 6 8 0 2 1 0

108 16.38 23.90 66.7%
The Flag

8 4 4 4 3 6 6 6 6 6 8 7 8 3 4 6 6 8 1 2 1 0

107 15.16 24.83 66.0%
AFL Lab

5 4 4 6 4 7 6 4 6 7 6 7 6 6 4 6 6 8 2 2 1 0

107 15.08 24.05 66.0%
Stattraction

7 5 3 4 6 5 6 5 7 6 5 7 8 5 4 5 6 8 0 2 2 0

106 12.59 24.35 65.4%
Massey Ratings

7 3 3 4 3 7 4 1 7 7 6 7 8 7 4 6 3 8 3 2 0 1

101 16.47 23.88 66.4%
The Arc

8 3 3 4 4 6 5

33 -1.66 27.74 53.2%

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Friends of Squiggle

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  • Live Ladders
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  • FMI
  • PlusSixOne
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About Squiggle

Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. By Max Barry.

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