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Squiggle 2017 on BigFooty

Posted on February 15, 2017March 17, 2017 by Max Barry

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The BigFooty Squiggle 2017 thread kicks off here!

Here’s the starting point for 2017! Positions are calculated from 2016 performance only: They don’t take into consideration list changes, injuries, the fact that 90% of GWS is made up of first round draft picks just coming into their prime, and so on.

Source: Mega Thread – Squiggle 2017 | BigFooty AFL Forum

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Wins % Range
1
 Port Adelaide 13.3 138%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2
 Brisbane Lions 12.6 124%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2
3
 West Coast 11.5 115%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–4
4
 Geelong 11.0 124%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–6
5
 Richmond 10.7 123%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5
6
 St Kilda 10.3 112%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–8
7
 GWS 10.1 107%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7
8
 Collingwood 9.9 115%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–8
9
 Melbourne 8.7 108%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9
10
 Western Bulldogs 8.2 95%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10
11
 Hawthorn 8.1 94%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–12
12
 Carlton 7.5 98%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–14
13
 Essendon 7.8 85%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–13
14
 Fremantle 6.9 87%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–15
15
 Gold Coast 6.7 93%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14–15
16
 Sydney 5.2 77%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16–17
17
 North Melbourne 5.0 81%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16–17
18
 Adelaide 1.5 60%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After 4 games of Round 11, 2020.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Port Adelaide 9 2 – 142.7%
+4.3
1
2
 Brisbane Lions 8 3 – 119.6%
+4.6
2
3
 St Kilda 7∗ 3 – 123.0%
+3.3
6
4
 West Coast 7∗ 3 – 117.3%
+4.5
3
5
 Richmond 6 4 1 116.6%
+4.7
5
6
 Geelong 6∗ 4 – 122.2%
+5.0
4
7
 GWS 6∗ 4 – 104.7%
+4.1
7
8
 Collingwood 5∗ 4 1 112.5%
+4.9
8
9
 Melbourne 5∗ 5 – 109.9%
+3.7
9
10
 Western Bulldogs 5 6 – 89.9%
+3.2
10
11
 Essendon 5∗ 4 – 88.7%
+2.8
13
12
 Gold Coast 4∗ 6 – 101.0%
+2.7
15
13
 Carlton 4∗ 6 – 94.7%
+3.5
12
14
 Hawthorn 4∗ 5 – 86.6%
+4.1
11
15
 Fremantle 3∗ 6 – 84.6%
+3.9
14
16
 North Melbourne 3 8 – 82.1%
+2.0
17
17
 Sydney 3∗ 7 – 78.2%
+2.2
16
18
 Adelaide –∗ 10 – 55.1%
+1.5
18

∗ Yet to play

Live Squiggle

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Punters

7 5 4 5 8 6 8 7 6 6 4

66 10.80 23.87 72.5%
AFLalytics

7 5 4 6 7 6 5 8 7 6 4

65 9.76 23.53 71.4%
Squiggle

7 5 5 5 7 6 7 6 5 7 4

64 9.01 23.83 70.3%
PlusSixOne

8 5 3 6 7 8 3 5 8 5 4

62 5.24 24.97 68.1%
Matter of Stats

6 5 4 4 5 7 7 6 7 6 4

61 9.57 24.17 67.0%
s10

7 5 4 4 5 7 6 6 7 6 4

61 9.18 23.87 67.0%
Aggregate

7 4 4 4 6 7 6 6 7 6 4

61 7.53 24.66 67.0%
AFL_GO

6 4 4 4 7 7 5 7 8 7 2

61 6.33 24.25 67.0%
Footy Maths Institute

8 5 3 4 6 6 5 7 7 7 3

61 3.43 27.67 67.0%
Swinburne

8 4 3 5 5 7 5 6 8 6 3

60 6.72 26.12 65.9%
Graft

7 4 3 4 6 7 5 6 6 6 4

58 5.05 25.53 63.7%
Live Ladders

8 6 3 4 5 4 5 5 7 6 4

57 6.38 24.54 62.6%
AFL Lab

5 4 4 6 4 7 6 4 6 7 4

57 3.94 25.29 62.6%
The Flag

8 4 4 4 3 6 6 6 6 6 4

57 3.19 26.12 62.6%
Stattraction

7 5 3 4 6 5 6 5 7 6 2

56 3.69 25.77 61.5%
Massey Ratings

7 3 3 4 3 7 4 1 7 7 3

49 4.01 26.28 60.5%
The Arc

8 3 3 4 4 6 5

33 -1.66 27.74 53.2%

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Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. By Max Barry.

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