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Squiggle 2017 on BigFooty

Posted on February 15, 2017March 17, 2017 by Max Barry

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The BigFooty Squiggle 2017 thread kicks off here!

Here’s the starting point for 2017! Positions are calculated from 2016 performance only: They don’t take into consideration list changes, injuries, the fact that 90% of GWS is made up of first round draft picks just coming into their prime, and so on.

Source: Mega Thread – Squiggle 2017 | BigFooty AFL Forum

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Wins % Range
1
 Melbourne 17.6 131%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–2
2
 Western Bulldogs 17.1 143%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–2
3
 Geelong 15.6 125%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–4
4
 Brisbane Lions 15.1 128%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–4
5
 Port Adelaide 14.1 114%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5
6
 Richmond 13.3 111%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6
7
 Sydney 12.5 104%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7–8
8
 West Coast 12.1 104%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7–9
9
 GWS 10.5 97%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9–11
10
 Essendon 10.1 102%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–11
11
 Fremantle 10.1 94%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–12
12
 Carlton 9.2 97%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10–12
13
 Gold Coast 8.0 90%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–15
14
 Adelaide 8.3 86%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–15
15
 St Kilda 8.3 81%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13–14
16
 Collingwood 7.0 88%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16
17
 Hawthorn 6.0 79%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17
18
 North Melbourne 3.1 63%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After 4 games of Round 13, 2021.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Melbourne 11∗ 1 – 137.6%
+6.6
1
2
 Western Bulldogs 10∗ 2 – 150.0%
+7.1
2
3
 Geelong 9∗ 3 – 129.7%
+6.6
3
4
 Brisbane Lions 8∗ 4 – 127.3%
+7.1
4
5
 Port Adelaide 8∗ 4 – 118.0%
+6.1
5
6
 Sydney 8 5 – 108.1%
+4.5
7
7
 West Coast 7∗ 5 – 108.2%
+5.1
8
8
 Richmond 7∗ 5 – 106.2%
+6.3
6
9
 Fremantle 6 7 – 91.4%
+4.1
11
10
 Essendon 5∗ 7 – 102.0%
+5.1
10
11
 GWS 5∗ 6 – 93.3%
+5.5
9
12
 Adelaide 5 8 – 86.9%
+3.3
14
13
 St Kilda 5 8 – 78.3%
+3.3
15
14
 Carlton 4∗ 8 – 92.4%
+5.2
12
15
 Gold Coast 4∗ 8 – 90.4%
+4.0
13
16
 Collingwood 3∗ 9 – 87.5%
+4.0
16
17
 Hawthorn 3∗ 9 – 79.0%
+3.0
17
18
 North Melbourne 1∗ 10 – 57.9%
+2.1
18

∗ Yet to play

Live Squiggle

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Footy Maths Institute

6 8 6 6 7 6 7 8 7 7 7 4 1

80 15.85 25.67 73.4%
AFL Lab

7 9 7 5 7 5 6 7 7 7 6 3 3

79 15.24 25.19 72.5%
Punters

5 7 6 7 7 6 6 7 7 7 7 3 2

77 18.03 24.79 70.6%
Squiggle

6 7 6 7 6 7 4 7 7 8 7 3 2

77 17.47 25.03 70.6%
The Cruncher

5 7 5 6 8 7 5 8 7 7 7 4 1

77 14.80 25.60 70.6%
Matter of Stats

5 8 5 6 6 7 5 6 8 8 7 3 2

76 19.41 25.26 69.7%
The Flag

4 8 5 7 8 6 5 7 7 7 7 4 1

76 18.22 25.26 69.7%
Aggregate

6 8 5 6 7 6 6 7 7 7 7 3 1

76 17.47 24.95 69.7%
AFLalytics

6 9 6 7 6 5 5 6 7 8 7 3 1

76 17.35 25.03 69.7%
s10

6 8 6 6 6 6 5 7 7 8 7 3 1

76 17.20 24.99 69.7%
Graft

6 8 5 5 8 6 5 7 7 6 7 5 1

76 16.55 25.07 69.7%
Massey Ratings

4 7 7 6 7 7 5 7 7 7 7 4 1

76 15.75 26.16 69.7%
Cheap Stats

6 7 5 5 7 6 5 8 7 6 7 4 3

76 15.29 25.54 69.7%
PlusSixOne

5 8 6 4 7 6 6 7 7 7 7 5 1

76 12.38 26.04 69.7%
Live Ladders

5 7 5 7 6 6 6 7 7 8 7 3 1

75 18.50 25.18 68.8%
ZaphBot

6 7 4 5 7 6 7 7 7 6 7 5 1

75 16.40 26.16 68.8%
Glicko Ratings

5 8 5 5 7 5 4 8 7 6 7 4 1

72 15.33 25.49 66.1%
Stattraction

6 7 5 4 8 5 3 8 7 6 7 5 1

72 11.53 26.69 66.1%

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Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. By Max Barry.

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