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Posted on February 9, 2017March 17, 2017 by Max Barry

Welcome to Squiggle! The idea is to gather the most interesting AFL modeling and data analysis from around the web.

Participating sites:

  • The Arc
  • Figuring Footy
  • Matter of Stats
  • FootyMaths Institute

Squiggle bots continually poll these sites and other sources for the latest probability estimates, creating Squiggle Dials for an at-a-glance summary of who’s tipping what.

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Wins % Range
1
 Adelaide 18.0 139%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2
 Geelong 17.0 141%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2
3
 Brisbane Lions 16.5 114%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3
4
 Collingwood 16.0 122%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4
5
 GWS 16.0 115%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5
6
 Fremantle 16.0 109%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6
7
 Gold Coast 15.0 125%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7
8
 Hawthorn 15.0 121%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8
9
 Western Bulldogs 14.0 137%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9
10
 Sydney 12.0 97%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10
11
 Carlton 9.0 97%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11
12
 St Kilda 9.0 89%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12
13
 Port Adelaide 9.0 80%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13
14
 Melbourne 7.0 93%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14
15
 Essendon 6.0 70%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15
16
 North Melbourne 5.5 76%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16
17
 Richmond 5.0 66%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17
18
 West Coast 1.0 60%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After Round 26, 2025.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Adelaide 18 5 – 139.3%
+0.0
1
2
 Geelong 17 6 – 141.5%
+0.0
2
3
 Brisbane Lions 16 6 1 114.2%
+0.0
3
4
 Collingwood 16 7 – 122.4%
+0.0
4
5
 GWS 16 7 – 115.3%
+0.0
5
6
 Fremantle 16 7 – 109.0%
+0.0
6
7
 Gold Coast 15 8 – 124.9%
+0.0
7
8
 Hawthorn 15 8 – 120.9%
+0.0
8
9
 Western Bulldogs 14 9 – 137.0%
+0.0
9
10
 Sydney 12 11 – 97.0%
+0.0
10
11
 Carlton 9 14 – 96.7%
+0.0
11
12
 St Kilda 9 14 – 88.5%
+0.0
12
13
 Port Adelaide 9 14 – 79.8%
+0.0
13
14
 Melbourne 7 16 – 93.3%
+0.0
14
15
 Essendon 6 17 – 69.5%
+0.0
15
16
 North Melbourne 5 17 1 76.3%
+0.0
16
17
 Richmond 5 18 – 66.0%
+0.0
17
18
 West Coast 1 22 – 60.1%
+0.0
18

Power Rankings

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
Don't Blame the Data

2 8 3 7 7 8 5 7 7 6 6 6 4 6 6 3 7 9 5 7 7 8 8 8 8 3 1

162 48.16 25.84 76.1%
Matter of Stats

2 8 4 8 7 7 5 9 6 6 6 6 5 6 5 5 6 9 6 5 7 8 7 7 8 1 1

160 49.21 26.09 75.1%
Glicko Ratings

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 8 6 6 4 6 4 4 6 9 6 6 7 8 7 7 8 2 2

160 47.92 25.76 75.1%
Live Ladders

2 7 3 8 7 8 5 7 6 8 5 6 5 5 6 4 7 9 5 6 7 8 8 6 8 2 1

159 45.71 26.86 74.6%
Punters

1 8 5 7 7 6 4 7 6 7 6 7 5 6 6 4 7 9 5 6 7 8 7 7 8 1 1

158 52.13 25.99 74.2%
Winnable

1 8 6 6 7 7 4 9 7 6 6 6 4 6 6 3 6 9 5 6 7 8 7 7 8 2 1

158 48.38 26.08 74.2%
Aggregate

2 8 5 7 7 7 5 7 6 6 6 6 5 6 6 3 7 9 5 6 7 8 7 7 8 1 1

158 48.04 26.06 74.2%
AFL Lab

2 8 4 6 7 7 7 7 8 6 5 5 5 6 6 4 7 8 6 6 7 8 6 6 8 2 1

158 42.16 26.46 74.2%
s10

2 8 5 7 7 6 5 7 7 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 7 9 5 6 7 8 7 7 8 1 1

157 47.86 25.92 73.7%
The Wooden Finger

2 8 4 7 5 7 4 7 8 6 5 6 6 6 6 4 7 9 3 5 7 8 7 7 8 2 1

155 46.86 27.48 72.8%
ZaphBot

1 8 6 7 7 6 3 7 7 5 5 7 3 5 6 5 6 9 6 6 7 8 8 7 7 1 1

154 47.35 26.21 72.3%
Squiggle

1 7 5 8 7 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 6 4 4 7 9 6 5 7 8 6 8 8 1 1

154 44.42 26.60 72.3%
Drop Kick Data

2 8 5 6 7 7 5 7 6 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 6 9 4 5 7 8 7 7 7 2 1

153 50.93 25.86 71.8%
Informed Stats

1 8 6 7 6 7 4 9 7 5 6 5 5 6 5 4 6 8 5 5 7 8 7 7 7 2 0

153 48.68 27.66 71.8%
AFLalytics

2 7 5 7 7 6 4 8 7 6 6 6 4 6 4 3 6 9 5 6 7 8 7 7 8 1 1

153 47.48 26.17 71.8%
Stattraction

2 7 4 8 6 6 4 8 7 6 5 5 4 6 6 4 6 9 4 5 6 8 7 8 8 3 1

153 45.31 26.96 71.8%
The Cruncher

2 7 5 6 7 6 4 7 6 6 6 6 4 6 4 5 6 9 6 5 7 8 7 7 8 2 0

152 51.47 25.75 71.4%
Wheelo Ratings

1 8 5 6 7 6 4 6 7 7 6 6 5 6 4 4 6 9 5 5 7 8 7 7 8 1 1

152 50.92 25.63 71.4%
Massey Ratings

1 8 5 6 6 6 4 6 6 5 5 6 5 6 5 4 7 8 4 7 8 8 8 8 8 1 1

152 49.98 26.43 71.4%
Cheap Stats

1 8 5 7 7 7 5 6 6 6 6 5 5 6 4 3 7 9 4 6 7 8 7 7 7 2 1

152 45.63 26.72 71.4%
The Footycast

1 7 5 6 6 6 4 6 8 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 7 9 4 6 8 8 7 7 8 1

151 36.39 27.63†2 71.6%
Hyperion

1 7 5 6 6 7 3 6 7 5 3 7 4 4 6 4 6 8 6 8 8 7 8 7 8 1 2

150 42.81 27.60 70.4%
Graft

1 5 5 6 7 6 5 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 4 7 9 5 6 7 8 8 7 8 1 1

150 41.04 27.54 70.4%
footycharts

2 7 3 8 7 6 5 8 6 6 4 6 4 5 5 3 6 8 6 6 6 8 7 7 8 2

149 41.09 27.43†2 70.6%
What Snoo Thinks

1 8 3 7 6 8 4 7 8 7 5 5 4 6 5 3 6 9 3 6 7 8 7 7 8

148 44.18 26.94†6 71.5%
Elo Predicts!

1 7 3 6 7 6 4 8 7 6 4 5 4 4 5 4 7 9 5 7 7 8 7 6 8 2 1

148 43.51 26.99 69.5%
PlusSixOne

1 6 2 6 7 6 6 6 8 5 3 6 4 6 6 4 6 9 4 7 8 8 7 7 8 1 1

148 25.28 29.06 69.5%
AFL Scorigami

2 8 4 6 5 6 5 6 5 6 5 5 4 6 4 3 6 9 3 5 8 8 8 6 6 3 2

144 40.11 28.05 67.6%

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Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. By Max Barry.

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