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Posted on February 9, 2017March 17, 2017 by Max Barry

Welcome to Squiggle! The idea is to gather the most interesting AFL modeling and data analysis from around the web.

Participating sites:

  • The Arc
  • Figuring Footy
  • Matter of Stats
  • FootyMaths Institute

Squiggle bots continually poll these sites and other sources for the latest probability estimates, creating Squiggle Dials for an at-a-glance summary of who’s tipping what.

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Wins % Range
1
 Brisbane Lions 14.5 120%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–2
2
 Western Bulldogs 13.5 120%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2–11
3
 Geelong 13.6 116%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–8
4
 Hawthorn 13.0 120%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–17
5
 Collingwood 12.4 104%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3–11
6
 Sydney 12.4 104%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4–11
7
 Fremantle 12.3 107%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–10
8
 Carlton 12.4 104%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–12
9
 GWS 12.2 102%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6–12
10
 Melbourne 12.3 101%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1–14
11
 Adelaide 12.2 104%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7–13
12
 Port Adelaide 11.7 106%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5–13
13
 St Kilda 11.7 100%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8–13
14
 Gold Coast 10.4 97%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11–16
15
 Essendon 10.0 93%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15
16
 Richmond 7.7 75%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12–18
17
 West Coast 7.7 79%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16–18
18
 North Melbourne 7.1 73%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14–18

Pre-season 2025.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Adelaide – – –
+12.2
11
2
 Brisbane Lions – – –
+14.5
1
3
 Carlton – – –
+12.4
8
4
 Collingwood – – –
+12.4
5
5
 Essendon – – –
+10.0
15
6
 Fremantle – – –
+12.3
7
7
 Geelong – – –
+13.6
3
8
 Gold Coast – – –
+10.4
14
9
 GWS – – –
+12.2
9
10
 Hawthorn – – –
+13.0
4
11
 Melbourne – – –
+12.3
10
12
 North Melbourne – – –
+7.1
18
13
 Port Adelaide – – –
+11.7
12
14
 Richmond – – –
+7.7
16
15
 St Kilda – – –
+11.7
13
16
 Sydney – – –
+12.4
6
17
 West Coast – – –
+7.7
17
18
 Western Bulldogs – – –
+13.5
2

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