Skip to content
Squiggle
Follow @SquiggleAFL

New model: The Flag

Posted on March 9, 2020March 9, 2020 by Max Barry

The second new model for season 2020 is The Flag, which runs numbers on a truly bewildering number of different sports and leagues, including AFL. You can also find author Nick Fredriksson on Twitter.

CategoriesUncategorized

Post navigation

Previous PostPrevious New model: AFL_GO
Next PostNext Squiggle’s Ladder Prediction for 2020

Wins % Range
1
 Melbourne 17.5 131%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 1
2
 Port Adelaide 17.0 126%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 2
3
 Geelong 16.0 127%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 3
4
 Brisbane Lions 15.0 133%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 4
5
 Western Bulldogs 15.0 133%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 5
6
 Sydney 15.0 120%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 6
7
 GWS 11.5 100%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 7
8
 Essendon 11.0 109%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 8
9
 West Coast 10.0 93%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 9
10
 St Kilda 10.0 92%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 10
11
 Fremantle 10.0 86%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 11
12
 Richmond 9.5 98%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 12
13
 Carlton 8.0 89%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 13
14
 Hawthorn 8.0 85%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 14
15
 Adelaide 7.1 82%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 15
16
 Gold Coast 7.0 77%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 16
17
 Collingwood 6.0 86%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 17
18
 North Melbourne 4.5 70%
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
 18

After Round 27, 2021.

PROJECTIONS
W L D % History Wins Finish
1
 Melbourne 17 4 1 130.8%
+0.0
1
2
 Port Adelaide 17 5 – 126.3%
+0.0
2
3
 Geelong 16 6 – 126.7%
+0.0
3
4
 Brisbane Lions 15 7 – 133.3%
+0.0
4
5
 Western Bulldogs 15 7 – 132.8%
+0.0
5
6
 Sydney 15 7 – 119.9%
+0.0
6
7
 GWS 11 10 1 99.7%
+0.0
7
8
 Essendon 11 11 – 109.1%
+0.0
8
9
 West Coast 10 12 – 93.2%
+0.0
9
10
 St Kilda 10 12 – 91.5%
+0.0
10
11
 Fremantle 10 12 – 86.5%
+0.0
11
12
 Richmond 9 12 1 97.9%
+0.0
12
13
 Carlton 8 14 – 88.5%
+0.0
13
14
 Hawthorn 7 13 2 85.2%
+0.0
14
15
 Adelaide 7 15 – 82.0%
+0.1
15
16
 Gold Coast 7 15 – 76.8%
+0.0
16
17
 Collingwood 6 16 – 85.6%
+0.0
17
18
 North Melbourne 4 17 1 70.3%
+0.0
18

Live Squiggle

Models Leaderboard

Tips Bits MAE Correct
FMI

6 8 6 6 7 6 7 8 7 7 7 4 3 4 5 6 3 8 6 5 4 6 7 2 1 1 1

141 18.03 27.82 68.1%
ZaphBot

6 7 4 5 7 6 7 7 7 6 7 5 3 3 6 5 3 5 7 7 5 8 7 3 1 1 1

139 19.10 27.43 67.1%
Squiggle

6 7 6 7 6 7 4 7 7 8 7 3 4 4 5 5 3 5 6 6 4 7 8 3 1 1 1

138 19.92 27.44 66.7%
Aggregate

6 8 5 6 7 6 6 7 7 7 7 3 3 5 5 5 3 7 6 6 4 6 7 3 1 1 1

138 19.70 26.90 66.7%
Punters

5 7 6 7 7 6 6 7 7 7 7 3 3 5 5 7 3 6 5 5 4 6 8 3 1 1 1

138 18.61 27.06 66.7%
AFL Lab

7 9 7 5 7 5 6 7 7 7 6 3 5 3 4 5 4 6 5 5 5 7 7 3 1 1 1

138 13.57 27.26 66.7%
Cheap Stats

6 7 5 5 7 6 5 8 7 6 7 4 4 5 5 6 3 8 5 5 4 6 7 3 1 1 1

137 20.10 27.21 66.2%
The Cruncher

5 7 5 6 8 7 5 8 7 7 7 4 3 5 5 5 3 7 6 5 4 6 7 3 1 1 0

137 16.19 27.44 66.2%
Massey Ratings

4 7 7 6 7 7 5 7 7 7 7 4 3 5 5 5 3 7 6 5 4 6 7 3 1 1 1

137 15.78 27.60 66.2%
AFLalytics

6 9 6 7 6 5 5 6 7 8 7 3 3 5 5 6 3 4 6 6 4 6 7 3 1 1 1

136 14.15 27.22 65.7%
Graft

6 8 5 5 8 6 5 7 7 6 7 5 2 4 5 5 3 7 5 6 4 6 8 2 1 1 1

135 20.75 26.83 65.2%
s10

6 8 6 6 6 6 5 7 7 8 7 3 3 5 5 5 3 5 5 6 4 6 7 3 1 1 1

135 19.43 26.94 65.2%
Matter of Stats

5 8 5 6 6 7 5 6 8 8 7 3 3 5 5 5 4 5 5 6 4 6 7 3 1 1 1

135 19.18 27.26 65.2%
PlusSixOne

5 8 6 4 7 6 6 7 7 7 7 5 3 5 4 6 3 7 5 5 4 6 6 3 1 1 1

135 15.60 27.44 65.2%
Live Ladders

5 7 5 7 6 6 6 7 7 8 7 3 2 4 5 6 1 7 4 6 4 7 8 3 1 1 1

134 19.36 27.27 64.7%
Stattraction

6 7 5 4 8 5 3 8 7 6 7 5 3 5 6 5 3 8 6 5 4 7 6 2 1 1 1

134 13.98 28.07 64.7%
Glicko Ratings

5 8 5 5 7 5 4 8 7 6 7 4 2 5 4 6 3 7 6 6 3 6 8 3 1 1 1

133 14.30 27.40 64.3%
The Flag

4 8 5 7 8 6 5 7 7 7 7 4 2 4 5 5 3 4 5 7 4 7 6 1 1 1 1

131 12.17 28.04 63.3%

AFL Ladder Predictor

Squiggle AFL Ladder Predictor

Twitter

Tweets by SquiggleAFL

Friends of Squiggle

  • Live Ladders
  • Matter of Stats
  • HPN
  • FMI
  • PlusSixOne
  • AFLalytics
  • AFL Lab
  • Graft
  • Stattraction
  • Massey Ratings
  • The Flag
  • ZaphBot
  • Glicko Ratings
  • Cheap Stats
  • Figuring Footy
  • The Arc
  • Figuring Footy
  • Swinburne University
  • AFL_GO
  • Fat Stats
  • AFL Gains
  • BigFooty

About Squiggle

Squiggle gathers online AFL prediction & analysis and makes it look pretty. By Max Barry.

SQUIGGLE API

Need free data? Try the Squiggle API.