West Coast v Essendon
Perth Stadium
16.11
107
14.13
97
West Coast won by 10 points
IN
Rotham
Ryan
Kelly
McGovern
Sheed
Nelson
OUT
IN
Bryan
Langford
Snelling
McGrath
Ham
Phillips
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
68% | 17 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.63 |
|
|
83% | 40 points | ✗ | 50.1 | -1.59 |
|
|
76% | 23 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -1.06 |
|
|
75% | 24 points | ✗ | 34.0 | -1.00 |
|
|
75% | 22 points | ✗ | 31.6 | -0.98 |
|
|
74% | 21 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.96 |
|
|
72% | 18 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -0.84 |
|
|
70% | 21 points | ✗ | 31.3 | -0.75 |
|
|
70% | 18 points | ✗ | 27.6 | -0.73 |
|
|
69% | 16 points | ✗ | 25.6 | -0.67 |
|
|
69% | 17 points | ✗ | 26.5 | -0.67 |
|
|
68% | 20 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -0.64 |
|
|
68% | 17 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.64 |
|
s10
|
|
67% | 16 points | ✗ | 26.4 | -0.62 |
|
|
67% | 16 points | ✗ | 26.0 | -0.61 |
|
|
66% | 13 points | ✗ | 23.4 | -0.56 |
|
|
65% | 12 points | ✗ | 22.4 | -0.52 |
|
|
65% | 14 points | ✗ | 24.0 | -0.51 |
|
|
65% | 13 points | ✗ | 22.6 | -0.50 |
|
Punters
|
|
64% | 13 points | ✗ | 23.2 | -0.48 |
|
|
64% | 16 points | ✗ | 26.0 | -0.47 |
|
|
64% | 14 points | ✗ | 24.4 | -0.47 |
|
|
60% | 18 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -0.34 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 18.2 | -0.31 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.15 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.