Melbourne v Brisbane Lions
2022-06-23 19:20:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

16.21

117

7.11

53

Melbourne won by 64 points

IN

Bedford

Weideman

May

Gawn

Brown

Turner

OUT

IN

Tunstill

Berry

Payne

Zorko

Bailey

Gardiner

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		61%	10 points	✓	54.4	0.29
		76%	21 points	✓	42.8	0.60
		72%	23 points	✓	40.7	0.52
		70%	1 point	✓	63.0	0.48
		68%	15 points	✓	49.0	0.44
		66%	15 points	✓	49.0	0.40
		65%	14 points	✓	50.4	0.39
		65%	13 points	✓	51.2	0.38
		65%	14 points	✓	50.0	0.38
		65%	12 points	✓	51.6	0.38
s10		64%	13 points	✓	51.2	0.36
		63%	11 points	✓	53.0	0.34
Punters		62%	10 points	✓	54.0	0.32
		62%	14 points	✓	50.0	0.31
		62%	10 points	✓	54.4	0.30
		61%	11 points	✓	53.0	0.29
		59%	9 points	✓	55.0	0.25
		58%	8 points	✓	55.8	0.22
		57%	6 points	✓	58.0	0.19
		57%	7 points	✓	57.0	0.19
		57%	5 points	✓	59.5	0.18
		55%	5 points	✓	58.9	0.14
		53%	3 points	✓	61.0	0.09
		53%	3 points	✓	61.0	0.08
		53%	3 points	✓	61.2	0.08
		54%	3 points	✗	66.8	-0.10

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.