Geelong v Richmond

M.C.G.
13.11
89
13.8
86

Geelong won by 3 points

IN
Holmes
Henry
Dahlhaus
Stephens
OUT
IN
Rioli
Ross
Martin
Cotchin
Balta
Lambert
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Geelong
55% 4 points 1.50.14
Hyperion
Geelong
63% 12 points 9.00.34
ZaphBot
Geelong
62% 13 points 10.00.31
Massey Ratings
Geelong
61% 8 points 4.50.28
Elo Predicts!
Geelong
60% 9 points 6.00.27
Squiggle
Geelong
60% 10 points 6.60.27
Matter of Stats
Geelong
60% 8 points 5.20.26
AFL Lab
Geelong
59% 7 points 3.80.24
AFL Scorigami
Geelong
59% 8 points 4.50.23
PlusSixOne
Geelong
59% 9 points 5.60.23
Stattraction
Geelong
57% 7 points 4.30.20
The Cruncher
Geelong
56% 5 points 1.70.17
FMI
Geelong
56% 5 points 2.00.16
Wheelo Ratings
Geelong
56% 5 points 1.90.16
s10
Geelong
55% 5 points 1.70.14
Data by Josh
Geelong
55% 5 points 2.00.14
Punters
Geelong
54% 2 points 1.10.12
Glicko Ratings
Geelong
53% 2 points 0.80.08
Graft
Geelong
52% 3 points 0.00.06
Drop Kick Data
Geelong
52% 2 points 1.00.06
AFLalytics
Geelong
51% 1 point 2.10.03
Cheap Stats
Geelong
51% 1 point 2.00.03
The Footycast
Richmond
51% 1 point 3.6-0.02
The Wooden Finger
Richmond
52% 1 point 4.0-0.06
Live Ladders
Richmond
53% 2 points 5.0-0.09
The Flag
Richmond
61% 9 points 12.0-0.34

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 15, 2022