Geelong v Richmond
M.C.G.
13.11
89
13.8
86
Geelong won by 3 points
IN
Holmes
Henry
Dahlhaus
Stephens
OUT
IN
Rioli
Ross
Martin
Cotchin
Balta
Lambert
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 1.5 | 0.14 | |
63% | 12 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.34 | ||
62% | 13 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.31 | ||
61% | 8 points | ✓ | 4.5 | 0.28 | ||
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.27 | ||
60% | 10 points | ✓ | 6.6 | 0.27 | ||
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 5.2 | 0.26 | ||
59% | 7 points | ✓ | 3.8 | 0.24 | ||
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 4.5 | 0.23 | ||
59% | 9 points | ✓ | 5.6 | 0.23 | ||
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 4.3 | 0.20 | ||
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 1.7 | 0.17 | ||
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.16 | ||
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 1.9 | 0.16 | ||
s10
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 1.7 | 0.14 | |
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.14 | ||
Punters
|
54% | 2 points | ✓ | 1.1 | 0.12 | |
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 0.8 | 0.08 | ||
52% | 3 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.06 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.06 | ||
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 2.1 | 0.03 | ||
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.03 | ||
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 3.6 | -0.02 | ||
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 4.0 | -0.06 | ||
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 5.0 | -0.09 | ||
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.34 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.