North Melbourne v Adelaide
Bellerive Oval
8.10
58
17.13
115
Adelaide won by 57 points
IN
Archer
Bonar
McKay
Zurhaar
Thomas
Ziebell
Young
Horne-Francis
Perez
Hayden
OUT
IN
Hinge
Schoenberg
Thilthorpe
Crouch
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate
|
66% | 16 points | ✓ | 41.2 | 0.41 | |
81% | 35 points | ✓ | 21.6 | 0.70 | ||
79% | 26 points | ✓ | 31.0 | 0.65 | ||
78% | 25 points | ✓ | 32.2 | 0.65 | ||
74% | 23 points | ✓ | 34.0 | 0.57 | ||
73% | 20 points | ✓ | 37.4 | 0.54 | ||
72% | 19 points | ✓ | 37.7 | 0.53 | ||
71% | 18 points | ✓ | 39.0 | 0.50 | ||
Punters
|
69% | 18 points | ✓ | 39.5 | 0.47 | |
68% | 17 points | ✓ | 40.0 | 0.44 | ||
68% | 18 points | ✓ | 38.8 | 0.44 | ||
s10
|
67% | 16 points | ✓ | 41.0 | 0.43 | |
67% | 15 points | ✓ | 41.7 | 0.42 | ||
66% | 13 points | ✓ | 43.6 | 0.41 | ||
66% | 14 points | ✓ | 43.5 | 0.40 | ||
65% | 17 points | ✓ | 40.0 | 0.38 | ||
65% | 15 points | ✓ | 41.6 | 0.37 | ||
64% | 12 points | ✓ | 45.0 | 0.36 | ||
64% | 11 points | ✓ | 45.5 | 0.35 | ||
63% | 12 points | ✓ | 45.5 | 0.32 | ||
61% | 10 points | ✓ | 47.0 | 0.29 | ||
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 50.0 | 0.21 | ||
58% | 8 points | ✓ | 49.3 | 0.20 | ||
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 50.0 | 0.19 | ||
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 52.0 | 0.16 | ||
53% | 13 points | ✓ | 44.0 | 0.08 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.