Carlton v Fremantle
Docklands
12.9
81
7.8
50
Carlton won by 31 points
IN
Kemp
Motlop
Honey
Owies
Martin
Durdin
OUT
IN
Henry
Frederick
Taberner
Acres
Switkowski
Walters
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 28.7 | 0.08 | |
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 23.0 | 0.26 | ||
59% | 7 points | ✓ | 24.0 | 0.24 | ||
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 24.0 | 0.22 | ||
58% | 8 points | ✓ | 23.0 | 0.21 | ||
58% | 6 points | ✓ | 24.8 | 0.21 | ||
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 25.0 | 0.18 | ||
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 26.4 | 0.15 | ||
56% | 1 point | ✓ | 30.0 | 0.15 | ||
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 27.3 | 0.14 | ||
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 26.7 | 0.14 | ||
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 26.0 | 0.14 | ||
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 26.5 | 0.12 | ||
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 26.8 | 0.12 | ||
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 27.0 | 0.10 | ||
s10
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 28.5 | 0.09 | |
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 28.7 | 0.08 | ||
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 30.0 | 0.04 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 29.5 | 0.04 | ||
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 30.5 | 0.03 | ||
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 30.5 | 0.02 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -0.06 | ||
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 33.4 | -0.09 | ||
Punters
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.17 | |
57% | 8 points | ✗ | 39.0 | -0.22 | ||
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 37.6 | -0.23 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.