Adelaide v Fremantle
Adelaide Oval
12.10
82
11.17
83
Fremantle won by 1 point
IN
Rachele
Soligo
Milera
Hinge
Murray
Himmelberg
Rowe
Crouch
Brown
Dawson
O'Brien
Laird
Seedsman
Lynch
Mackay
McAdam
Murphy
Frampton
Davis
Strachan
Cook
Gollant
OUT
IN
Brodie
Chapman
Clark
Frederick
Schultz
Cox
Lobb
Walters
Darcy
Taberner
Colyer
Aish
Crowden
Bewley
Watson
Walker
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 5.2 | -0.13 |
|
|
68% | 15 points | ✗ | 15.9 | -0.63 |
|
|
67% | 15 points | ✗ | 15.5 | -0.61 |
|
|
65% | 14 points | ✗ | 14.8 | -0.51 |
|
|
62% | 12 points | ✗ | 13.0 | -0.40 |
|
|
60% | 12 points | ✗ | 12.5 | -0.31 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.31 |
|
|
56% | 11 points | ✗ | 12.3 | -0.20 |
|
Punters
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 5.9 | -0.19 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 7.0 | -0.18 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 6.0 | -0.18 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 6.0 | -0.18 |
|
s10
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 6.4 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 5.0 | -0.14 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 5.3 | -0.13 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 4.8 | -0.11 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 3.9 | -0.10 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 3.5 | -0.07 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 3.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.04 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.05 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 2.2 | 0.10 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.16 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.19 |
|
|
59% | 6 points | ✓ | 5.5 | 0.23 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.