Melbourne v Western Bulldogs
2022-03-16 19:10:00 +11:00
M.C.G.

14.13

97

11.5

71

Melbourne won by 26 points

IN

Smith

Tomlinson

Jordon

Hunt

Lever

Rivers

Hibberd

Petty

OUT

IN

Gardner

Vandermeer

Richards

Crozier

Johannisen

Duryea

Wood

Martin

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		61%	10 points	✓	15.8	0.29
		70%	19 points	✓	7.0	0.49
		68%	17 points	✓	9.0	0.44
		66%	19 points	✓	7.4	0.39
		65%	16 points	✓	10.3	0.38
		64%	13 points	✓	13.0	0.36
		64%	8 points	✓	18.0	0.36
		64%	11 points	✓	15.0	0.35
		63%	11 points	✓	15.0	0.34
		63%	11 points	✓	15.0	0.33
		63%	12 points	✓	13.6	0.33
		63%	10 points	✓	16.0	0.33
		63%	10 points	✓	15.8	0.32
		62%	13 points	✓	13.0	0.31
		62%	9 points	✓	17.0	0.31
		61%	9 points	✓	17.5	0.28
		60%	8 points	✓	18.0	0.26
s10		60%	10 points	✓	15.9	0.26
		58%	7 points	✓	19.4	0.22
		58%	13 points	✓	12.7	0.22
Punters		58%	8 points	✓	18.3	0.21
		57%	10 points	✓	16.0	0.19
		56%	6 points	✓	20.5	0.15
		54%	3 points	✓	22.5	0.10
		53%	3 points	✓	23.2	0.09
		51%	1 point	✓	25.0	0.02

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.