Geelong v Essendon

M.C.G.
20.18
138
11.6
72

Geelong won by 66 points

IN
De Koning
Stengle
Dahlhaus
Higgins
Parfitt
Stewart
Menegola
Rohan
Duncan
Henderson
Bews
Miers
OUT
IN
Baldwin
Martin
Cox
Ham
Kelly
Langford
Hind
Stringer
Snelling
Cutler
Francis
Gleeson
Waterman
Durham
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Geelong
58% 8 points 58.50.23
Hyperion
Geelong
73% 18 points 48.00.55
FMI
Geelong
68% 14 points 52.00.44
AFL Scorigami
Geelong
63% 13 points 53.30.34
The Cruncher
Geelong
63% 10 points 55.90.33
Glicko Ratings
Geelong
62% 9 points 56.50.30
PlusSixOne
Geelong
62% 12 points 54.20.30
The Flag
Geelong
62% 10 points 56.00.30
Graft
Geelong
61% 11 points 55.00.29
Cheap Stats
Geelong
61% 14 points 52.00.29
The Footycast
Geelong
61% 11 points 54.90.28
Massey Ratings
Geelong
61% 10 points 56.50.28
Elo Predicts!
Geelong
60% 10 points 56.00.26
Wheelo Ratings
Geelong
59% 8 points 58.50.24
Punters
Geelong
58% 6 points 59.90.20
Stattraction
Geelong
57% 7 points 59.30.19
s10
Geelong
57% 6 points 60.10.18
AFL Lab
Geelong
56% 7 points 59.00.16
Matter of Stats
Geelong
55% 4 points 61.90.14
Data by Josh
Geelong
55% 4 points 62.00.14
Live Ladders
Geelong
54% 4 points 62.00.12
ZaphBot
Geelong
54% 4 points 62.00.11
AFLalytics
Geelong
54% 4 points 62.50.10
The Wooden Finger
Geelong
52% 3 points 63.00.06
Drop Kick Data
Essendon
53% 3 points 69.0-0.08
Squiggle
Essendon
54% 8 points 74.2-0.11

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 1, 2022