Geelong v Essendon

M.C.G.
20.18
138
11.6
72

Geelong won by 66 points

IN
De Koning
Stengle
Dahlhaus
Higgins
Parfitt
Stewart
Menegola
Rohan
Duncan
Henderson
Bews
Miers
OUT
IN
Baldwin
Martin
Cox
Ham
Kelly
Langford
Hind
Stringer
Snelling
Cutler
Francis
Gleeson
Waterman
Durham
OUT
TipWin %Margin ✓MAEBits
Aggregate
Geelong
58% 8 points ✓58.50.23
Hyperion
Geelong
73% 18 points ✓48.00.55
FMI
Geelong
68% 14 points ✓52.00.44
AFL Scorigami
Geelong
63% 13 points ✓53.30.34
The Cruncher
Geelong
63% 10 points ✓55.90.33
Glicko Ratings
Geelong
62% 9 points ✓56.50.30
PlusSixOne
Geelong
62% 12 points ✓54.20.30
The Flag
Geelong
62% 10 points ✓56.00.30
Graft
Geelong
61% 11 points ✓55.00.29
Cheap Stats
Geelong
61% 14 points ✓52.00.29
The Footycast
Geelong
61% 11 points ✓54.90.28
Massey Ratings
Geelong
61% 10 points ✓56.50.28
Elo Predicts!
Geelong
60% 10 points ✓56.00.26
Wheelo Ratings
Geelong
59% 8 points ✓58.50.24
Punters
Geelong
58% 6 points ✓59.90.20
Stattraction
Geelong
57% 7 points ✓59.30.19
s10
Geelong
57% 6 points ✓60.10.18
AFL Lab
Geelong
56% 7 points ✓59.00.16
Matter of Stats
Geelong
55% 4 points ✓61.90.14
Data by Josh
Geelong
55% 4 points ✓62.00.14
Live Ladders
Geelong
54% 4 points ✓62.00.12
ZaphBot
Geelong
54% 4 points ✓62.00.11
AFLalytics
Geelong
54% 4 points ✓62.50.10
The Wooden Finger
Geelong
52% 3 points ✓63.00.06
Drop Kick Data
Essendon
53% 3 points ✗69.0-0.08
Squiggle
Essendon
54% 8 points ✗74.2-0.11

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 1, 2022