Geelong v Essendon
M.C.G.
20.18
138
11.6
72
Geelong won by 66 points
IN
De Koning
Stengle
Dahlhaus
Higgins
Parfitt
Stewart
Menegola
Rohan
Duncan
Henderson
Bews
Miers
OUT
IN
Baldwin
Martin
Cox
Ham
Kelly
Langford
Hind
Stringer
Snelling
Cutler
Francis
Gleeson
Waterman
Durham
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate
|
58% | 8 points | ✓ | 58.5 | 0.23 | |
73% | 18 points | ✓ | 48.0 | 0.55 | ||
68% | 14 points | ✓ | 52.0 | 0.44 | ||
63% | 13 points | ✓ | 53.3 | 0.34 | ||
63% | 10 points | ✓ | 55.9 | 0.33 | ||
62% | 9 points | ✓ | 56.5 | 0.30 | ||
62% | 12 points | ✓ | 54.2 | 0.30 | ||
62% | 10 points | ✓ | 56.0 | 0.30 | ||
61% | 11 points | ✓ | 55.0 | 0.29 | ||
61% | 14 points | ✓ | 52.0 | 0.29 | ||
61% | 11 points | ✓ | 54.9 | 0.28 | ||
61% | 10 points | ✓ | 56.5 | 0.28 | ||
60% | 10 points | ✓ | 56.0 | 0.26 | ||
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 58.5 | 0.24 | ||
Punters
|
58% | 6 points | ✓ | 59.9 | 0.20 | |
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 59.3 | 0.19 | ||
s10
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 60.1 | 0.18 | |
56% | 7 points | ✓ | 59.0 | 0.16 | ||
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 61.9 | 0.14 | ||
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 62.0 | 0.14 | ||
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 62.0 | 0.12 | ||
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 62.0 | 0.11 | ||
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 62.5 | 0.10 | ||
52% | 3 points | ✓ | 63.0 | 0.06 | ||
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 69.0 | -0.08 | ||
54% | 8 points | ✗ | 74.2 | -0.11 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.