Carlton v Richmond

M.C.G.
14.17
101
11.10
76

Carlton won by 25 points

IN
McDonald
Owies
Silvagni
Martin
Setterfield
Hewett
McKay
Docherty
Pittonet
Williams
Cerra
Walsh
Curnow
Newnes
Betts
Plowman
Fogarty
Casboult
Williamson
Stocker
Honey
Kemp
OUT
IN
Gibcus
Soldo
Tarrant
Broad
Aarts
Prestia
Balta
Nankervis
Cotchin
Edwards
Martin
Vlastuin
McIntosh
Astbury
Chol
Stack
Coleman-Jones
Collier-Dawkins
Parker
Dow
Miller
Martyn
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Richmond
59% 8 points 33.1-0.28
FMI
Richmond
68% 14 points 39.0-0.64
Squiggle
Richmond
67% 25 points 50.0-0.60
Cheap Stats
Richmond
66% 17 points 42.0-0.56
Data by Josh
Richmond
65% 14 points 39.0-0.51
Wheelo Ratings
Richmond
64% 12 points 36.9-0.49
The Wooden Finger
Richmond
64% 13 points 38.0-0.47
Elo Predicts!
Richmond
62% 7 points 32.0-0.40
Punters
Richmond
62% 11 points 36.0-0.39
Drop Kick Data
Richmond
62% 11 points 36.0-0.39
AFLalytics
Richmond
61% 10 points 35.0-0.35
The Flag
Richmond
60% 8 points 33.0-0.33
Hyperion
Richmond
59% 8 points 33.0-0.30
Glicko Ratings
Richmond
59% 7 points 31.9-0.27
Matter of Stats
Richmond
58% 7 points 31.8-0.27
s10
Richmond
58% 8 points 33.0-0.24
Stattraction
Richmond
58% 8 points 32.6-0.24
Graft
Richmond
58% 7 points 32.0-0.24
Live Ladders
Richmond
55% 4 points 29.0-0.17
The Cruncher
Richmond
55% 4 points 29.1-0.17
AFL Scorigami
Richmond
55% 5 points 29.5-0.16
PlusSixOne
Richmond
55% 5 points 30.2-0.16
AFL Lab
Richmond
53% 3 points 28.2-0.08
The Footycast
Richmond
51% 1 point 25.7-0.02
Massey Ratings
Carlton
51% 1 point 24.50.01
ZaphBot
Carlton
54% 4 points 21.00.11

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 1, 2022