Brisbane Lions v Port Adelaide
2022-03-19 20:10:00 +11:00
Gabba

11.14

80

10.9

69

Brisbane Lions won by 11 points

IN

Fort

Answerth

Rayner

Ah Chee

McStay

Birchall

Coleman

Robertson

Payne

Fullarton

OUT

IN

Mead

Jones

Georgiades

Finlayson

Powell-Pepper

Dixon

Motlop

Ladhams

Fantasia

Bergman

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		62%	11 points	✓	0.3	0.31
		74%	21 points	✓	10.0	0.57
		72%	19 points	✓	8.1	0.53
Punters		71%	17 points	✓	5.7	0.50
		69%	18 points	✓	7.0	0.46
		69%	18 points	✓	6.6	0.45
		68%	17 points	✓	6.0	0.44
		68%	15 points	✓	4.0	0.44
		65%	17 points	✓	6.3	0.37
		64%	13 points	✓	2.0	0.35
		63%	11 points	✓	0.1	0.34
		63%	11 points	✓	0.0	0.33
		63%	11 points	✓	0.3	0.32
		62%	13 points	✓	2.0	0.31
		61%	10 points	✓	1.0	0.28
		61%	17 points	✓	5.6	0.28
s10		61%	11 points	✓	0.1	0.28
		60%	8 points	✓	2.8	0.27
		59%	9 points	✓	1.8	0.24
		59%	7 points	✓	4.5	0.23
		58%	10 points	✓	1.0	0.21
		57%	7 points	✓	4.0	0.19
		57%	5 points	✓	6.0	0.18
		56%	6 points	✓	4.8	0.17
		50%	0 points	✓	11.0	0.00
		59%	7 points	✗	17.9	-0.27

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.