Brisbane Lions v Fremantle
2021-05-09 16:40:00
Gabba

14.11

95

10.11

71

Brisbane Lions won by 24 points

IN

Gardiner

Madden

OUT

IN

Henry

Duman

Hughes

Chapman

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		75%	26 points	✓	2.0	0.59
		87%	38 points	✓	14.0	0.79
		83%	30 points	✓	5.5	0.73
		81%	29 points	✓	5.4	0.69
Punters		80%	29 points	✓	5.4	0.68
		78%	25 points	✓	1.3	0.65
		78%	27 points	✓	3.0	0.64
		78%	25 points	✓	1.0	0.64
		76%	24 points	✓	0.4	0.61
		76%	31 points	✓	7.2	0.61
		75%	28 points	✓	4.0	0.58
		74%	27 points	✓	3.1	0.57
		74%	29 points	✓	5.0	0.57
s10		74%	23 points	✓	0.6	0.57
		72%	30 points	✓	6.0	0.53
		70%	21 points	✓	3.3	0.48
		67%	18 points	✓	6.4	0.42
		56%	5 points	✓	19.5	0.15

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.