Richmond v Geelong
M.C.G.
9.9
63
19.12
126
Geelong won by 63 points
IN
Vlastuin
Martin
Cotchin
Grimes
OUT
IN
Guthrie
Simpson
Ratugolea
Higgins
Stanley
Miers
Clark
Narkle
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 71.1 | -0.28 |
|
|
69% | 17 points | ✗ | 80.0 | -0.71 |
|
|
68% | 15 points | ✗ | 78.0 | -0.63 |
|
|
66% | 18 points | ✗ | 81.3 | -0.58 |
|
|
66% | 11 points | ✗ | 73.5 | -0.54 |
|
|
65% | 12 points | ✗ | 75.1 | -0.50 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 71.9 | -0.37 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 71.8 | -0.32 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 71.2 | -0.30 |
|
s10
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 70.5 | -0.27 |
|
Punters
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 68.6 | -0.19 |
|
|
56% | 8 points | ✗ | 71.0 | -0.18 |
|
|
56% | 8 points | ✗ | 71.0 | -0.18 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 69.0 | -0.18 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 64.7 | -0.05 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 65.0 | -0.05 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 63.3 | -0.01 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 62.5 | 0.01 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.