Hawthorn v West Coast
2021-05-09 13:10:00
M.C.G.

8.12

60

14.14

98

West Coast won by 38 points

IN

Hartley

Howe

Wingard

Gunston

O'Brien

Maginness

OUT

IN

Williams

Ah Chee

Duggan

Vardy

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		60%	9 points	✓	28.6	0.25
		75%	22 points	✓	16.0	0.58
		69%	18 points	✓	20.0	0.45
		66%	17 points	✓	20.5	0.41
		65%	16 points	✓	22.0	0.38
		64%	13 points	✓	24.6	0.36
		64%	14 points	✓	24.0	0.36
		64%	11 points	✓	26.9	0.35
Punters		60%	10 points	✓	27.7	0.26
		60%	11 points	✓	27.4	0.26
		59%	7 points	✓	31.5	0.23
		58%	6 points	✓	32.1	0.20
		57%	9 points	✓	29.0	0.19
s10		56%	6 points	✓	32.0	0.17
		55%	5 points	✓	33.1	0.13
		52%	1 point	✓	37.0	0.05
		53%	2 points	✗	40.1	-0.07
		60%	8 points	✗	46.3	-0.32

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.