Port Adelaide v Adelaide
2021-05-08 19:40:00
Adelaide Oval

12.15

87

5.8

38

Port Adelaide won by 49 points

IN

Farrell

Boak

Woodcock

Frederick

OUT

IN

Hamill

Fogarty

Brown

Sloane

McAdam

McPherson

Hately

Murray

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		77%	29 points	✓	20.2	0.63
		91%	47 points	✓	2.0	0.87
		82%	33 points	✓	16.0	0.71
		82%	27 points	✓	22.5	0.70
		81%	29 points	✓	19.9	0.70
		81%	36 points	✓	13.0	0.70
		81%	35 points	✓	14.0	0.70
Punters		80%	29 points	✓	19.9	0.68
		79%	36 points	✓	13.0	0.66
		79%	27 points	✓	21.7	0.66
		77%	30 points	✓	18.8	0.62
		75%	34 points	✓	15.0	0.58
s10		74%	24 points	✓	25.2	0.57
		74%	28 points	✓	21.4	0.56
		74%	21 points	✓	28.0	0.56
		74%	22 points	✓	27.1	0.56
		70%	21 points	✓	27.9	0.48
		58%	6 points	✓	43.1	0.20

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.