Greater Western Sydney v Essendon
2021-05-08 14:10:00
Sydney Showground

16.11

107

16.9

105

Greater Western Sydney won by 2 points

IN

Sproule

Bruhn

Lloyd

Daniels

Reid

Hogan

OUT

IN

Phillips

Francis

Guelfi

Bryan

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		64%	14 points	✓	11.5	0.36
		74%	21 points	✓	19.0	0.56
		69%	21 points	✓	19.0	0.46
		69%	16 points	✓	14.2	0.46
		68%	15 points	✓	13.3	0.45
		68%	18 points	✓	15.8	0.44
Punters		67%	16 points	✓	13.9	0.41
		66%	12 points	✓	9.5	0.39
		64%	13 points	✓	10.9	0.36
		64%	17 points	✓	15.0	0.36
		63%	11 points	✓	9.0	0.34
		63%	16 points	✓	14.0	0.33
s10		62%	10 points	✓	8.3	0.30
		62%	11 points	✓	9.0	0.30
		59%	10 points	✓	8.0	0.25
		58%	8 points	✓	6.3	0.21
		57%	6 points	✓	3.8	0.20
		56%	6 points	✓	3.7	0.16

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.