Adelaide v Greater Western Sydney
2021-05-01 14:10:00
Adelaide Oval

4.15

39

15.16

106

Greater Western Sydney won by 67 points

IN

Murray

Berry

Mackay

Brown

Fogarty

Hamill

OUT

IN

Hogan

Reid

Mumford

Whitfield

Haynes

Flynn

Riccardi

Stone

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		50%	0 points	✓	66.6	0.00
		58%	9 points	✓	57.8	0.22
		58%	7 points	✓	60.0	0.20
		55%	5 points	✓	61.8	0.13
		54%	3 points	✓	63.8	0.11
		53%	3 points	✓	64.2	0.10
		52%	2 points	✓	65.0	0.06
		52%	3 points	✓	64.0	0.06
		52%	1 point	✓	66.0	0.06
Punters		52%	2 points	✓	65.5	0.05
		51%	1 point	✓	66.0	0.03
		51%	1 point	✓	66.4	0.02
s10		52%	1 point	✗	67.9	-0.05
		53%	3 points	✗	70.0	-0.10
		55%	5 points	✗	71.5	-0.14
		57%	6 points	✗	72.8	-0.20
		59%	6 points	✗	72.5	-0.27
		64%	11 points	✗	78.3	-0.48

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.