Sydney v Geelong
S.C.G.
14.6
90
12.16
88
Sydney won by 2 points
IN
Stephens
O'Riordan
McCartin
Hickey
Reid
Hewett
Blakey
Brand
OUT
IN
Narkle
Clark
O'Connor
Kolodjashnij
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 10.8 | -0.29 |
|
|
73% | 25 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.89 |
|
|
66% | 19 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.56 |
|
|
66% | 17 points | ✗ | 18.7 | -0.54 |
|
|
64% | 11 points | ✗ | 13.5 | -0.49 |
|
|
64% | 13 points | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.48 |
|
Punters
|
|
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 13.5 | -0.46 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 11.6 | -0.39 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.37 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 8.4 | -0.24 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 8.0 | -0.22 |
|
s10
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 7.9 | -0.20 |
|
|
54% | 5 points | ✗ | 7.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 6.5 | -0.12 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 5.0 | -0.11 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 5.5 | -0.10 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 0.6 | 0.04 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 0.7 | 0.04 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.