Richmond v Western Bulldogs
M.C.G.
11.11
77
7.13
55
Richmond won by 22 points
IN
Collier-Dawkins
Ross
Martin
Lambert
OUT
IN
West
Hannan
Schache
Lipinski
Dunkley
English
Vandermeer
Jong
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 26.7 | -0.14 |
|
|
70% | 24 points | ✗ | 45.9 | -0.75 |
|
|
65% | 17 points | ✗ | 39.0 | -0.51 |
|
|
65% | 12 points | ✗ | 34.4 | -0.50 |
|
Punters
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 32.6 | -0.43 |
|
|
63% | 10 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -0.42 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 29.1 | -0.25 |
|
s10
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 27.2 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.14 |
|
|
54% | 5 points | ✗ | 26.9 | -0.13 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 22.7 | -0.03 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 22.2 | -0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 21.5 | 0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 21.4 | 0.02 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.03 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 17.3 | 0.16 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.16 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.