Essendon v Carlton
M.C.G.
16.11
107
19.9
123
Carlton won by 16 points
IN
Bryan
Stewart
Ridley
Francis
Phillips
Zerk-Thatcher
OUT
IN
Owies
Parks
Dow
Williams
Murphy
Petrevski-Seton
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✓ | 14.5 | 0.04 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✓ | 7.1 | 0.29 |
|
|
61% | 13 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.29 |
|
Punters
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 11.6 | 0.10 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
52% | 4 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 14.4 | 0.05 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 14.6 | 0.05 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.03 |
|
s10
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 15.9 | 0.01 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 15.9 | 0.00 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 16.4 | -0.00 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.08 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 18.6 | -0.10 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 20.6 | -0.14 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 21.5 | -0.23 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.