Brisbane Lions v Port Adelaide
Gabba
13.15
93
5.14
44
Brisbane Lions won by 49 points
IN
Madden
Mathieson
Neale
Gardiner
OUT
IN
Powell-Pepper
Boak
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 46.8 | 0.08 |
|
|
64% | 11 points | ✓ | 37.6 | 0.36 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✓ | 38.0 | 0.33 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✓ | 39.4 | 0.29 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 43.9 | 0.17 |
|
Punters
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 44.9 | 0.14 |
|
s10
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 44.9 | 0.14 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 47.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 47.5 | 0.07 |
|
|
52% | 4 points | ✓ | 45.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 47.9 | 0.02 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 48.9 | 0.00 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 49.4 | -0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 49.6 | -0.02 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 50.0 | -0.02 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 50.7 | -0.04 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 52.0 | -0.10 |
|
|
57% | 8 points | ✗ | 57.0 | -0.22 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.