Port Adelaide v St Kilda
Adelaide Oval
14.9
93
5.9
39
Port Adelaide won by 54 points
IN
Frederick
Drew
Mayes
Jones
OUT
IN
Joyce
Long
Jones
Marshall
Dunstan
Webster
Bytel
Hunter
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate
|
76% | 25 points | ✓ | 28.5 | 0.60 | |
88% | 41 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.82 | ||
80% | 33 points | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.68 | ||
Punters
|
79% | 26 points | ✓ | 27.9 | 0.66 | |
79% | 27 points | ✓ | 27.1 | 0.65 | ||
78% | 26 points | ✓ | 27.7 | 0.65 | ||
78% | 23 points | ✓ | 31.5 | 0.63 | ||
76% | 23 points | ✓ | 31.0 | 0.59 | ||
75% | 21 points | ✓ | 32.7 | 0.59 | ||
75% | 22 points | ✓ | 32.2 | 0.58 | ||
s10
|
75% | 24 points | ✓ | 30.1 | 0.58 | |
74% | 24 points | ✓ | 30.0 | 0.57 | ||
73% | 25 points | ✓ | 29.4 | 0.54 | ||
73% | 19 points | ✓ | 35.0 | 0.54 | ||
72% | 25 points | ✓ | 29.0 | 0.53 | ||
71% | 24 points | ✓ | 30.2 | 0.52 | ||
70% | 27 points | ✓ | 27.0 | 0.49 | ||
69% | 23 points | ✓ | 31.5 | 0.47 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.