Geelong v West Coast
Kardinia Park
21.10
136
5.9
39
Geelong won by 97 points
IN
O'Connor
Cameron
Dangerfield
De Koning
OUT
IN
Jones
Kennedy
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate
|
62% | 12 points | ✓ | 85.2 | 0.32 | |
80% | 28 points | ✓ | 68.8 | 0.67 | ||
79% | 28 points | ✓ | 69.2 | 0.66 | ||
Punters
|
71% | 19 points | ✓ | 78.0 | 0.50 | |
67% | 14 points | ✓ | 83.2 | 0.43 | ||
67% | 18 points | ✓ | 79.0 | 0.42 | ||
67% | 19 points | ✓ | 77.6 | 0.42 | ||
66% | 14 points | ✓ | 83.0 | 0.41 | ||
65% | 13 points | ✓ | 84.3 | 0.39 | ||
s10
|
63% | 13 points | ✓ | 84.5 | 0.34 | |
62% | 15 points | ✓ | 82.0 | 0.31 | ||
61% | 9 points | ✓ | 87.9 | 0.30 | ||
59% | 9 points | ✓ | 88.0 | 0.24 | ||
56% | 7 points | ✓ | 90.0 | 0.16 | ||
55% | 3 points | ✓ | 94.5 | 0.12 | ||
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 96.0 | 0.02 | ||
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 100.1 | -0.09 | ||
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 102.0 | -0.19 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.