Collingwood v Essendon
M.C.G.
13.7
85
16.13
109
Essendon won by 24 points
IN
Murphy
Kelly
Rantall
Ruscoe
Hoskin-Elliott
De Goey
Howe
Mayne
Greenwood
Keane
OUT
IN
Zerk-Thatcher
Phillips
Guelfi
Ridley
Waterman
Reid
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.23 |
|
|
68% | 20 points | ✗ | 44.0 | -0.64 |
|
|
66% | 13 points | ✗ | 37.0 | -0.56 |
|
|
64% | 10 points | ✗ | 33.5 | -0.45 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 33.1 | -0.37 |
|
|
59% | 11 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.25 |
|
|
57% | 10 points | ✗ | 34.0 | -0.22 |
|
s10
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 29.3 | -0.20 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 29.9 | -0.18 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 29.0 | -0.18 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 28.1 | -0.16 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 27.8 | -0.14 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -0.13 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 27.4 | -0.12 |
|
Punters
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 28.4 | -0.11 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 27.1 | -0.09 |
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✓ | 22.1 | 0.03 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.