Hawthorn v Adelaide

York Park
15.12
102
16.3
99

Hawthorn won by 3 points

IN
Cousins
Lewis
Howe
Nash
OUT
IN
Thilthorpe
Hately
Himmelberg
Lynch
Frampton
Berry
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Hawthorn
58% 8 points 4.70.21
Footy Maths Institute
Hawthorn
68% 24 points 21.00.44
ZaphBot
Hawthorn
64% 15 points 12.00.36
Punters
Hawthorn
63% 12 points 9.20.34
Cheap Stats
Hawthorn
62% 14 points 11.00.31
Live Ladders
Hawthorn
61% 9 points 6.00.29
Graft
Hawthorn
61% 10 points 7.00.28
The Flag
Hawthorn
59% 8 points 5.00.25
Matter of Stats
Hawthorn
59% 8 points 4.80.25
Stattraction
Hawthorn
58% 9 points 6.10.22
AFLalytics
Hawthorn
58% 6 points 3.30.20
Massey Ratings
Hawthorn
57% 5 points 1.50.18
The Cruncher
Hawthorn
56% 5 points 2.00.17
s10
Hawthorn
56% 6 points 2.60.17
PlusSixOne
Hawthorn
54% 4 points 0.70.10
Squiggle
Hawthorn
51% 2 points 1.00.03
AFL Lab
Adelaide
52% 2 points 4.7-0.06
Glicko Ratings
Adelaide
56% 5 points 8.1-0.19

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 6, 2021