Hawthorn v Adelaide
2021-04-25 12:30:00
York Park

15.12

102

16.3

99

Hawthorn won by 3 points

IN

Cousins

Lewis

Howe

Nash

OUT

IN

Thilthorpe

Hately

Himmelberg

Lynch

Frampton

Berry

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		58%	8 points	✓	4.7	0.21
		68%	24 points	✓	21.0	0.44
		64%	15 points	✓	12.0	0.36
Punters		63%	12 points	✓	9.2	0.34
		62%	14 points	✓	11.0	0.31
		61%	9 points	✓	6.0	0.29
		61%	10 points	✓	7.0	0.28
		59%	8 points	✓	5.0	0.25
		59%	8 points	✓	4.8	0.25
		58%	9 points	✓	6.1	0.22
		58%	6 points	✓	3.3	0.20
		57%	5 points	✓	1.5	0.18
		56%	5 points	✓	2.0	0.17
s10		56%	6 points	✓	2.6	0.17
		54%	4 points	✓	0.7	0.10
		51%	2 points	✓	1.0	0.03
		52%	2 points	✗	4.7	-0.06
		56%	5 points	✗	8.1	-0.19

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.