Carlton v Brisbane Lions
2021-04-24 16:35:00
Docklands

12.13

85

15.13

103

Brisbane Lions won by 18 points

IN

Stocker

Cuningham

Kennedy

Williamson

OUT

IN

Robertson

Berry

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		54%	4 points	✓	14.5	0.11
		63%	10 points	✓	7.6	0.33
		59%	7 points	✓	11.0	0.24
		59%	7 points	✓	10.9	0.23
		58%	8 points	✓	10.0	0.21
Punters		57%	7 points	✓	11.5	0.19
		56%	7 points	✓	11.4	0.16
		56%	6 points	✓	12.0	0.16
		54%	5 points	✓	13.0	0.11
		53%	2 points	✓	15.7	0.08
		53%	3 points	✓	15.5	0.07
		52%	2 points	✓	16.0	0.07
s10		52%	1 point	✓	16.5	0.04
		50%	0 points	✓	18.0	0.01
		50%	1 point	✓	17.0	0.00
		50%	1 point	✗	18.6	-0.00
		52%	2 points	✗	20.2	-0.06
		56%	5 points	✗	23.3	-0.20

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.