Greater Western Sydney v St Kilda

Sydney Showground
11.12
78
13.8
86

St Kilda won by 8 points

IN
Flynn
Bruhn
Ash
Hill
Taylor
de Boer
Ward
Davis
Himmelberg
Cameron
Williams
Whitfield
Finlayson
Daniels
Shaw
Mumford
Lloyd
Riccardi
OUT
IN
Hunter
Highmore
Bytel
Webster
Long
McKernan
McKenzie
Higgins
Gresham
Marshall
Jones
Savage
Geary
Paton
Kent
Hannebery
King
Marsh
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Greater Western Sydney
52% 2 points 10.0-0.06
ZaphBot
Greater Western Sydney
60% 7 points 15.0-0.32
Cheap Stats
Greater Western Sydney
59% 17 points 25.0-0.29
AFLalytics
Greater Western Sydney
59% 8 points 16.1-0.27
Footy Maths Institute
Greater Western Sydney
58% 10 points 18.0-0.25
Punters
Greater Western Sydney
57% 7 points 14.5-0.22
Massey Ratings
Greater Western Sydney
57% 5 points 12.5-0.20
Live Ladders
Greater Western Sydney
55% 4 points 12.0-0.15
Matter of Stats
Greater Western Sydney
55% 4 points 12.0-0.15
PlusSixOne
Greater Western Sydney
54% 4 points 11.8-0.11
s10
Greater Western Sydney
51% 0 points 8.1-0.03
The Flag
Greater Western Sydney
51% 1 point 9.0-0.02
Stattraction
St Kilda
52% 2 points 5.90.06
Glicko Ratings
St Kilda
53% 3 points 5.40.09
AFL Lab
St Kilda
54% 4 points 3.80.10
The Cruncher
St Kilda
55% 7 points 1.20.15
Squiggle
St Kilda
57% 12 points 3.60.18
Graft
St Kilda
57% 7 points 1.00.20

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 1, 2021