Greater Western Sydney v St Kilda
Sydney Showground
11.12
78
13.8
86
St Kilda won by 8 points
IN
Flynn
Bruhn
Ash
Hill
Taylor
de Boer
Ward
Davis
Himmelberg
Cameron
Williams
Whitfield
Finlayson
Daniels
Shaw
Mumford
Lloyd
Riccardi
OUT
IN
Hunter
Highmore
Bytel
Webster
Long
McKernan
McKenzie
Higgins
Gresham
Marshall
Jones
Savage
Geary
Paton
Kent
Hannebery
King
Marsh
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 10.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
60% | 7 points | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
59% | 17 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 16.1 | -0.27 |
|
|
58% | 10 points | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.25 |
|
Punters
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 14.5 | -0.22 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 12.5 | -0.20 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 11.8 | -0.11 |
|
s10
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✗ | 8.1 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.02 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 5.9 | 0.06 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 5.4 | 0.09 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 3.8 | 0.10 |
|
|
55% | 7 points | ✓ | 1.2 | 0.15 |
|
|
57% | 12 points | ✓ | 3.6 | 0.18 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.20 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.