Brisbane Lions v Sydney

Gabba
14.10
94
19.11
125

Sydney won by 31 points

IN
Coleman
Sharp
Fullarton
Daniher
Martin
McStay
Ellis-Yolmen
Rayner
OUT
IN
Wicks
Gulden
Campbell
McDonald
Warner
McLean
Hickey
Hewett
Rampe
Heeney
Aliir
Sinclair
Hayward
Clarke
Fox
Melican
Thurlow
McInerney
Bell
Stephens
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Brisbane Lions
73% 25 points 55.6-0.89
The Flag
Brisbane Lions
89% 43 points 74.0-2.21
Glicko Ratings
Brisbane Lions
82% 31 points 61.7-1.50
AFL Lab
Brisbane Lions
79% 37 points 68.4-1.24
Graft
Brisbane Lions
79% 28 points 59.0-1.23
Punters
Brisbane Lions
78% 24 points 55.4-1.18
Matter of Stats
Brisbane Lions
77% 25 points 56.0-1.13
Live Ladders
Brisbane Lions
76% 23 points 54.0-1.03
s10
Brisbane Lions
71% 22 points 52.7-0.81
AFLalytics
Brisbane Lions
71% 19 points 50.4-0.80
Cheap Stats
Brisbane Lions
71% 32 points 63.0-0.79
The Cruncher
Brisbane Lions
71% 27 points 58.3-0.76
Massey Ratings
Brisbane Lions
71% 16 points 46.5-0.76
Footy Maths Institute
Brisbane Lions
69% 25 points 56.0-0.69
ZaphBot
Brisbane Lions
66% 16 points 47.0-0.56
PlusSixOne
Brisbane Lions
65% 16 points 46.8-0.53
Squiggle
Brisbane Lions
63% 20 points 50.8-0.44
Stattraction
Brisbane Lions
62% 11 points 42.4-0.41

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 1, 2021