Essendon v Hawthorn
Docklands
13.13
91
14.8
92
Hawthorn won by 1 point
IN
Cahill
Jones
Cox
Caldwell
Hind
Wright
Francis
Hooker
McGrath
Heppell
Stringer
Saad
Hurley
Guelfi
Cutler
Gleeson
Clarke
Daniher
Stewart
Zerk-Thatcher
OUT
IN
Koschitzke
Brockman
Jiath
Hanrahan
Hartigan
Howe
Impey
Phillips
Worpel
Wingard
Gunston
Puopolo
Frawley
Stratton
Scrimshaw
Lewis
Cousins
Greaves
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 0.4 | 0.03 |
|
|
59% | 4 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.24 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✓ | 6.7 | 0.23 |
|
|
56% | 2 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.16 |
|
|
55% | 6 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.14 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 1.9 | 0.09 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
52% | 3 points | ✓ | 1.7 | 0.06 |
|
s10
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 0.1 | 0.02 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 0.9 | 0.00 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 1.1 | -0.00 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 1.0 | -0.01 |
|
Punters
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 2.9 | -0.05 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 3.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 4.5 | -0.08 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 4.1 | -0.11 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 5.1 | -0.15 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✗ | 4.5 | -0.17 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.