Essendon v Hawthorn

Docklands
13.13
91
14.8
92

Hawthorn won by 1 point

IN
Cahill
Jones
Cox
Caldwell
Hind
Wright
Francis
Hooker
McGrath
Heppell
Stringer
Saad
Hurley
Guelfi
Cutler
Gleeson
Clarke
Daniher
Stewart
Zerk-Thatcher
OUT
IN
Koschitzke
Brockman
Jiath
Hanrahan
Hartigan
Howe
Impey
Phillips
Worpel
Wingard
Gunston
Puopolo
Frawley
Stratton
Scrimshaw
Lewis
Cousins
Greaves
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Hawthorn
51% 1 point 0.40.03
Cheap Stats
Hawthorn
59% 4 points 3.00.24
Stattraction
Hawthorn
58% 8 points 6.70.23
ZaphBot
Hawthorn
56% 2 points 1.00.16
Footy Maths Institute
Hawthorn
55% 6 points 5.00.14
AFLalytics
Hawthorn
53% 3 points 1.90.09
Graft
Hawthorn
53% 3 points 2.00.08
AFL Lab
Hawthorn
52% 3 points 1.70.06
s10
Hawthorn
51% 1 point 0.10.02
PlusSixOne
Hawthorn
50% 0 points 0.90.00
Squiggle
Essendon
50% 0 points 1.1-0.00
Live Ladders
Essendon
50% 0 points 1.0-0.01
Punters
Essendon
52% 2 points 2.9-0.05
The Flag
Essendon
52% 2 points 3.0-0.06
The Cruncher
Essendon
53% 3 points 4.5-0.08
Matter of Stats
Essendon
54% 3 points 4.1-0.11
Glicko Ratings
Essendon
55% 4 points 5.1-0.15
Massey Ratings
Essendon
56% 4 points 4.5-0.17

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 1, 2021