Adelaide v Geelong

Adelaide Oval
15.13
103
13.13
91

Adelaide won by 12 points

IN
Rowe
Butts
Berry
McHenry
Frampton
Hamill
Doedee
Murphy
Seedsman
Crouch
Talia
Crouch
Mackay
Hartigan
Fogarty
Jones
Himmelberg
Stengle
OUT
IN
Guthrie
Jenkins
Clark
Atkins
Smith
Higgins
Ablett
Duncan
Taylor
Tuohy
Henry
Simpson
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Geelong
75% 28 points 40.5-1.02
The Flag
Geelong
93% 51 points 63.0-2.74
Graft
Geelong
86% 39 points 51.0-1.87
Matter of Stats
Geelong
83% 32 points 44.4-1.54
Squiggle
Geelong
82% 50 points 61.7-1.44
The Cruncher
Geelong
81% 44 points 55.7-1.38
Punters
Geelong
80% 28 points 40.1-1.32
ZaphBot
Geelong
79% 36 points 48.0-1.25
Footy Maths Institute
Geelong
76% 36 points 48.0-1.06
Glicko Ratings
Geelong
74% 21 points 33.4-0.97
Cheap Stats
Geelong
74% 21 points 33.0-0.94
s10
Geelong
72% 24 points 36.2-0.85
AFLalytics
Geelong
71% 21 points 33.1-0.81
PlusSixOne
Geelong
70% 21 points 33.1-0.73
Stattraction
Geelong
69% 18 points 30.3-0.70
Live Ladders
Geelong
64% 12 points 24.0-0.47
Massey Ratings
Geelong
64% 12 points 23.5-0.45
AFL Lab
Geelong
61% 13 points 25.1-0.36

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 1, 2021