Adelaide v Geelong
Adelaide Oval
15.13
103
13.13
91
Adelaide won by 12 points
IN
Rowe
Butts
Berry
McHenry
Frampton
Hamill
Doedee
Murphy
Seedsman
Crouch
Talia
Crouch
Mackay
Hartigan
Fogarty
Jones
Himmelberg
Stengle
OUT
IN
Guthrie
Jenkins
Clark
Atkins
Smith
Higgins
Ablett
Duncan
Taylor
Tuohy
Henry
Simpson
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
75% | 28 points | ✗ | 40.5 | -1.02 |
|
|
93% | 51 points | ✗ | 63.0 | -2.74 |
|
|
86% | 39 points | ✗ | 51.0 | -1.87 |
|
|
83% | 32 points | ✗ | 44.4 | -1.54 |
|
|
82% | 50 points | ✗ | 61.7 | -1.44 |
|
|
81% | 44 points | ✗ | 55.7 | -1.38 |
|
Punters
|
|
80% | 28 points | ✗ | 40.1 | -1.32 |
|
|
79% | 36 points | ✗ | 48.0 | -1.25 |
|
|
76% | 36 points | ✗ | 48.0 | -1.06 |
|
|
74% | 21 points | ✗ | 33.4 | -0.97 |
|
|
74% | 21 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -0.94 |
|
s10
|
|
72% | 24 points | ✗ | 36.2 | -0.85 |
|
|
71% | 21 points | ✗ | 33.1 | -0.81 |
|
|
70% | 21 points | ✗ | 33.1 | -0.73 |
|
|
69% | 18 points | ✗ | 30.3 | -0.70 |
|
|
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 24.0 | -0.47 |
|
|
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 23.5 | -0.45 |
|
|
61% | 13 points | ✗ | 25.1 | -0.36 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.