Collingwood v Western Bulldogs
M.C.G.
7.11
53
10.9
69
Western Bulldogs won by 16 points
IN
Ruscoe
Henry
Brown
Sier
Howe
Treloar
Stephenson
Mayne
Greenwood
Cameron
OUT
IN
Scott
McNeil
Vandermeer
Dale
Martin
Treloar
Johannisen
Crozier
Richards
Cordy
Wood
Smith
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 14.9 | 0.05 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 8.4 | 0.24 |
|
Punters
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✓ | 8.8 | 0.23 |
|
|
57% | 1 point | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.19 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.18 |
|
|
56% | 1 point | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.16 |
|
|
55% | 9 points | ✓ | 6.9 | 0.13 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 12.9 | 0.09 |
|
s10
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✓ | 14.4 | 0.04 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 14.5 | 0.04 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.03 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 16.1 | -0.00 |
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.01 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 16.4 | -0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
55% | 6 points | ✗ | 22.1 | -0.14 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 21.9 | -0.18 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 20.5 | -0.20 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.