Essendon v Collingwood
M.C.G.
9.8
62
12.6
78
Match complete
Collingwood won by 16 points
IN
Long
McNiece
Fantasia
Dea
OUT
IN
Greenwood
Dunn
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 60% | 9 points | ✓ | 6.7 | 0.25 | |
68% | 17 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.44 | ||
66% | 16 points | ✓ | 0.4 | 0.41 | ||
65% | 14 points | ✓ | 1.6 | 0.37 | ||
64% | 12 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.36 | ||
Punters | 61% | ✓ | 0.28 | |||
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.24 | ||
59% | 12 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.24 | ||
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.19 | ||
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.19 | ||
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.12 | ||
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.08 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.05 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.