Port Adelaide v St Kilda
Adelaide Oval
12.14
86
7.8
50
Match complete
Port Adelaide won by 36 points
IN
Johnson
Byrne-Jones
Watts
Jonas
Gray
Pittard
Hombsch
Marshall
OUT
IN
Wright
Austin
Gilbert
Webster
Carlisle
Brown
Rice
Battle
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 80% | 32 points | ✓ | 3.9 | 0.68 | |
91% | 40 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.86 | ||
86% | 42 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.78 | ||
Punters | 85% | ✓ | 0.77 | |||
83% | 32 points | ✓ | 4.4 | 0.72 | ||
82% | 32 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.70 | ||
82% | 31 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.70 | ||
80% | 30 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.68 | ||
80% | 42 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.68 | ||
80% | 34 points | ✓ | 2.1 | 0.67 | ||
76% | 29 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.60 | ||
71% | 23 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.50 | ||
71% | 19 points | ✓ | 17.0 | 0.50 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.