Brisbane Lions v Carlton

Gabba
18.12
120
7.13
55

Match complete
Brisbane Lions won by 65 points

IN
O'Brien
Lang
Marchbank
Thomas
Kreuzer
Simpson
Casboult
Mullett
Garlett
Dow
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Brisbane Lions
71% 21 points 44.10.51
Matter of Stats
Brisbane Lions
80% 29 points 35.90.68
Squiggle
Brisbane Lions
78% 31 points 34.00.64
Massey Ratings
Brisbane Lions
77% 23 points 42.00.62
Live Ladders
Brisbane Lions
75% 23 points 42.00.58
Punters
Brisbane Lions
74% 0.56
Swinburne
Brisbane Lions
73% 22 points 43.00.55
Graft
Brisbane Lions
72% 21 points 44.00.52
The Arc
Brisbane Lions
72% 20 points 45.00.52
Stattraction
Brisbane Lions
67% 19 points 46.00.42
PlusSixOne
Brisbane Lions
64% 15 points 50.00.35
Footy Maths Institute
Brisbane Lions
63% 17 points 48.00.33
HPN
Brisbane Lions
61% 10 points 55.00.28

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 16, 2018