Brisbane Lions v Carlton

Gabba

120

55

Match complete
Brisbane Lions won by 65 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Brisbane Lions
71% 21 points 44.10.51
Brisbane Lions
80% 29 points 35.90.68
Brisbane Lions
78% 31 points 34.00.64
Brisbane Lions
77% 23 points 42.00.62
Brisbane Lions
75% 23 points 42.00.58
Punters
Brisbane Lions
74% 0.56
Brisbane Lions
73% 22 points 43.00.55
Brisbane Lions
72% 21 points 44.00.52
Brisbane Lions
72% 20 points 45.00.52
Brisbane Lions
67% 19 points 46.00.42
Brisbane Lions
64% 15 points 50.00.35
Brisbane Lions
63% 17 points 48.00.33
Brisbane Lions
61% 10 points 55.00.28

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 16, 2018