Brisbane Lions v Carlton
Gabba
18.12
120
7.13
55
Match complete
Brisbane Lions won by 65 points
IN
O'Brien
Lang
Marchbank
Thomas
Kreuzer
Simpson
Casboult
Mullett
Garlett
Dow
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 71% | 21 points | ✓ | 44.1 | 0.51 | |
80% | 29 points | ✓ | 35.9 | 0.68 | ||
78% | 31 points | ✓ | 34.0 | 0.64 | ||
77% | 23 points | ✓ | 42.0 | 0.62 | ||
75% | 23 points | ✓ | 42.0 | 0.58 | ||
Punters | 74% | ✓ | 0.56 | |||
73% | 22 points | ✓ | 43.0 | 0.55 | ||
72% | 21 points | ✓ | 44.0 | 0.52 | ||
72% | 20 points | ✓ | 45.0 | 0.52 | ||
67% | 19 points | ✓ | 46.0 | 0.42 | ||
64% | 15 points | ✓ | 50.0 | 0.35 | ||
63% | 17 points | ✓ | 48.0 | 0.33 | ||
61% | 10 points | ✓ | 55.0 | 0.28 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.