Melbourne v Fremantle
Marrara Oval
13.24
102
7.6
48
Match complete
Melbourne won by 54 points
IN
Spargo
Stretch
Frost
Garlett
Tyson
Hannan
Weideman
Petty
OUT
IN
Darcy
Hughes
Hill
Fyfe
Ballantyne
Nyhuis
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 78% | 28 points | ✓ | 25.8 | 0.64 | |
Punters | 89% | ✓ | 0.83 | |||
87% | 34 points | ✓ | 20.0 | 0.79 | ||
86% | 40 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.78 | ||
84% | 35 points | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.74 | ||
83% | 38 points | ✓ | 15.7 | 0.73 | ||
77% | 23 points | ✓ | 31.0 | 0.62 | ||
77% | 27 points | ✓ | 27.0 | 0.62 | ||
76% | 24 points | ✓ | 29.9 | 0.60 | ||
72% | 29 points | ✓ | 25.0 | 0.53 | ||
69% | 21 points | ✓ | 33.0 | 0.47 | ||
68% | 23 points | ✓ | 31.0 | 0.45 | ||
68% | 16 points | ✓ | 38.0 | 0.44 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.