Western Bulldogs v Hawthorn
Docklands
9.5
59
19.8
122
Match complete
Hawthorn won by 63 points
IN
Biggs
Daniel
Jong
Williams
OUT
IN
O'Rourke
Miles
Gunston
Langford
O'Brien
Glass
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 65% | 15 points | ✓ | 47.7 | 0.39 | |
85% | 39 points | ✓ | 24.0 | 0.77 | ||
75% | 23 points | ✓ | 40.0 | 0.58 | ||
Punters | 67% | ✓ | 0.43 | |||
66% | 14 points | ✓ | 49.0 | 0.39 | ||
65% | 19 points | ✓ | 44.0 | 0.38 | ||
65% | 14 points | ✓ | 49.0 | 0.38 | ||
63% | 12 points | ✓ | 51.0 | 0.33 | ||
63% | 11 points | ✓ | 52.0 | 0.33 | ||
62% | 12 points | ✓ | 51.1 | 0.32 | ||
60% | 10 points | ✓ | 53.0 | 0.27 | ||
60% | 10 points | ✓ | 53.0 | 0.25 | ||
54% | 5 points | ✓ | 58.5 | 0.12 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.