Sydney v Geelong

S.C.G.

59

71

Match complete
Geelong won by 12 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Sydney
59% 9 points 21.3-0.30
Sydney
70% 19 points 31.0-0.74
Sydney
68% 16 points 28.0-0.63
Sydney
65% 20 points 32.0-0.51
Sydney
65% 13 points 25.0-0.50
Sydney
62% 9 points 21.0-0.40
Sydney
60% 8 points 20.1-0.33
Sydney
59% 8 points 20.0-0.28
Sydney
58% 8 points 20.0-0.24
Sydney
57% 6 points 18.0-0.23
Punters
Sydney
56% -0.20
Sydney
53% 3 points 15.0-0.09
Geelong
59% 8 points 4.00.24

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 16, 2018