Essendon v Greater Western Sydney
Carrara
8.7
55
8.11
59
Greater Western Sydney won by 4 points
IN
Guelfi
McKernan
Langford
McKenna
Bellchambers
Gleeson
Ham
Cahill
OUT
IN
O'Halloran
Mumford
Ward
Greene
de Boer
Jacobs
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate
|
61% | 8 points | ✓ | 4.1 | 0.28 | |
Punters
|
70% | 13 points | ✓ | 8.7 | 0.48 | |
69% | 13 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.47 | ||
67% | 11 points | ✓ | 6.6 | 0.43 | ||
64% | 12 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.36 | ||
62% | 8 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.31 | ||
61% | 9 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.29 | ||
s10
|
61% | 8 points | ✓ | 4.3 | 0.29 | |
61% | 8 points | ✓ | 4.1 | 0.29 | ||
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.26 | ||
59% | 12 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.24 | ||
56% | 6 points | ✓ | 1.5 | 0.15 | ||
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.14 | ||
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.14 | ||
55% | 2 points | ✓ | 2.4 | 0.13 | ||
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 0.2 | 0.12 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.