Collingwood v Sydney
Gabba
6.14
50
6.5
41
Collingwood won by 9 points
IN
Ruscoe
Reid
Roughead
Brown
Mayne
Varcoe
Cameron
Keane
OUT
IN
Stephens
Wicks
Thurlow
Melican
Gray
Blakey
Taylor
Clarke
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate
|
73% | 19 points | ✓ | 10.5 | 0.55 | |
88% | 30 points | ✓ | 20.5 | 0.82 | ||
86% | 28 points | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.78 | ||
79% | 35 points | ✓ | 25.5 | 0.66 | ||
Punters
|
77% | 21 points | ✓ | 11.6 | 0.61 | |
76% | 25 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.60 | ||
76% | 20 points | ✓ | 11.3 | 0.60 | ||
75% | 11 points | ✓ | 2.2 | 0.59 | ||
s10
|
73% | 20 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.55 | |
73% | 19 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.55 | ||
70% | 21 points | ✓ | 12.1 | 0.48 | ||
70% | 16 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.48 | ||
67% | 22 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.42 | ||
67% | 13 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.42 | ||
61% | 8 points | ✓ | 1.5 | 0.29 | ||
60% | 5 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.26 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.