Gold Coast v St Kilda
Carrara
11.8
74
12.6
78
St Kilda won by 4 points
IN
Sharp
Lemmens
MacPherson
Hanley
OUT
IN
Phillips
Kent
Long
Savage
Geary
Parker
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate
|
62% | 9 points | ✓ | 5.4 | 0.31 | |
75% | 18 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.59 | ||
73% | 15 points | ✓ | 11.3 | 0.55 | ||
67% | 13 points | ✓ | 9.1 | 0.43 | ||
Punters
|
67% | 13 points | ✓ | 9.4 | 0.42 | |
62% | 6 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.31 | ||
62% | 10 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.30 | ||
61% | 14 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.29 | ||
61% | 10 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.29 | ||
s10
|
61% | 8 points | ✓ | 4.3 | 0.29 | |
60% | 11 points | ✓ | 6.8 | 0.27 | ||
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.26 | ||
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.21 | ||
56% | 3 points | ✓ | 0.8 | 0.16 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 2.3 | 0.07 | ||
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 2.7 | 0.04 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.