Adelaide v Melbourne
Adelaide Oval
5.7
37
13.10
88
Melbourne won by 51 points
IN
Sholl
Schoenberg
McHenry
McAsey
Crocker
Fogarty
Doedee
Mackay
Walker
Smith
Atkins
Gibbs
Hartigan
Knight
Stengle
McAdam
McPherson
Strachan
OUT
IN
Bennell
vandenBerg
Tomlinson
Neal-Bullen
McDonald
McDonald
Hannan
Pickett
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate
|
65% | 11 points | ✓ | 39.7 | 0.37 | |
89% | 29 points | ✓ | 22.3 | 0.83 | ||
79% | 9 points | ✓ | 42.2 | 0.65 | ||
Punters
|
74% | 19 points | ✓ | 32.1 | 0.57 | |
74% | 21 points | ✓ | 30.0 | 0.56 | ||
70% | 16 points | ✓ | 34.9 | 0.49 | ||
67% | 18 points | ✓ | 32.7 | 0.42 | ||
s10
|
64% | 12 points | ✓ | 39.3 | 0.36 | |
63% | 10 points | ✓ | 40.9 | 0.34 | ||
62% | 10 points | ✓ | 41.0 | 0.30 | ||
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 42.0 | 0.26 | ||
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 47.0 | 0.13 | ||
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 47.0 | 0.13 | ||
54% | 6 points | ✓ | 45.0 | 0.11 | ||
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 47.0 | 0.11 | ||
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 51.4 | -0.01 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.