Adelaide v Melbourne
2020-08-05 20:10:00
Adelaide Oval

5.7

37

13.10

88

Melbourne won by 51 points

IN

Sholl

Schoenberg

McHenry

McAsey

Crocker

Fogarty

Doedee

Mackay

Walker

Smith

Atkins

Gibbs

Hartigan

Knight

Stengle

McAdam

McPherson

Strachan

OUT

IN

Bennell

vandenBerg

Tomlinson

Neal-Bullen

McDonald

McDonald

Hannan

Pickett

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		65%	11 points	✓	39.7	0.37
		89%	29 points	✓	22.3	0.83
		79%	9 points	✓	42.2	0.65
Punters		74%	19 points	✓	32.1	0.57
		74%	21 points	✓	30.0	0.56
		70%	16 points	✓	34.9	0.49
		67%	18 points	✓	32.7	0.42
s10		64%	12 points	✓	39.3	0.36
		63%	10 points	✓	40.9	0.34
		62%	10 points	✓	41.0	0.30
		60%	9 points	✓	42.0	0.26
		55%	4 points	✓	47.0	0.13
		55%	4 points	✓	47.0	0.13
		54%	6 points	✓	45.0	0.11
		54%	4 points	✓	47.0	0.11
		50%	0 points	✗	51.4	-0.01

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.