Richmond v Brisbane Lions
Carrara
12.10
82
4.17
41
Richmond won by 41 points
IN
Vlastuin
Markov
OUT
IN
Payne
Birchall
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 42.2 | -0.06 |
|
|
67% | 12 points | ✗ | 53.5 | -0.58 |
|
|
63% | 10 points | ✗ | 51.1 | -0.45 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 50.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 48.0 | -0.27 |
|
|
58% | 5 points | ✗ | 46.0 | -0.25 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 44.1 | -0.13 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 44.7 | -0.11 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 43.0 | -0.09 |
|
s10
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 42.9 | -0.07 |
|
Punters
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 42.9 | -0.07 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 37.3 | 0.10 |
|
|
56% | 8 points | ✓ | 33.0 | 0.16 |
|
|
60% | 7 points | ✓ | 33.8 | 0.27 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✓ | 32.0 | 0.28 |
|
|
62% | 9 points | ✓ | 32.0 | 0.31 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.