Adelaide v St Kilda
Adelaide Oval
8.7
55
12.6
78
St Kilda won by 23 points
IN
Seedsman
Walker
Sloane
Frampton
OUT
IN
Byrnes
Ryder
Long
Marsh
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate
|
64% | 11 points | ✓ | 11.9 | 0.35 | |
79% | 10 points | ✓ | 12.6 | 0.66 | ||
78% | 21 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.65 | ||
Punters
|
74% | 19 points | ✓ | 4.2 | 0.56 | |
73% | 27 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.55 | ||
72% | 15 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.52 | ||
68% | 20 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.44 | ||
66% | 13 points | ✓ | 10.1 | 0.40 | ||
66% | 14 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.39 | ||
s10
|
63% | 12 points | ✓ | 11.2 | 0.34 | |
62% | 9 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.30 | ||
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.21 | ||
57% | 5 points | ✓ | 17.6 | 0.19 | ||
57% | 8 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.19 | ||
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 20.0 | 0.08 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 24.7 | -0.05 | ||
53% | 4 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.09 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.