Hawthorn v Melbourne
Sydney Showground
7.6
48
14.7
91
Melbourne won by 43 points
IN
Minchington
Lewis
Burgoyne
Puopolo
Ceglar
Patton
OUT
IN
Jackson
McDonald
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
64% | 11 points | ✗ | 54.4 | -0.48 |
|
|
77% | 18 points | ✗ | 61.0 | -1.12 |
|
|
77% | 14 points | ✗ | 57.4 | -1.11 |
|
|
72% | 18 points | ✗ | 61.0 | -0.84 |
|
|
68% | 16 points | ✗ | 59.0 | -0.64 |
|
|
68% | 20 points | ✗ | 63.0 | -0.64 |
|
|
65% | 19 points | ✗ | 62.0 | -0.51 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 54.0 | -0.45 |
|
|
62% | 9 points | ✗ | 51.9 | -0.39 |
|
|
62% | 7 points | ✗ | 50.0 | -0.38 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 52.0 | -0.36 |
|
s10
|
|
61% | 8 points | ✗ | 51.5 | -0.36 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 53.3 | -0.33 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 49.0 | -0.26 |
|
|
57% | 3 points | ✗ | 46.4 | -0.22 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 50.4 | -0.21 |
|
Punters
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 45.6 | -0.12 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.