Greater Western Sydney v Brisbane Lions
Sydney Showground
10.8
68
13.10
88
Brisbane Lions won by 20 points
IN
Caldwell
Hill
Langdon
Taranto
Ward
Greene
Lloyd
Green
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 21.5 | -0.05 |
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -0.43 |
|
|
60% | 13 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
58% | 5 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.26 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 25.9 | -0.18 |
|
|
55% | 3 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.14 |
|
|
53% | 1 point | ✗ | 20.8 | -0.08 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 22.2 | -0.08 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 22.0 | -0.05 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 20.3 | -0.01 |
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 19.5 | 0.00 |
|
s10
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.03 |
|
|
52% | 3 points | ✓ | 17.1 | 0.06 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.13 |
|
Punters
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.14 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.25 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.