Geelong v Collingwood
Perth Stadium
5.5
35
8.9
57
Collingwood won by 22 points
IN
Clark
Steven
Duncan
Narkle
OUT
IN
Noble
Daicos
De Goey
Cox
Scharenberg
Kelly
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 20.8 | 0.05 |
|
|
60% | 7 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.26 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 14.9 | 0.22 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.19 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✓ | 17.5 | 0.18 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 14.6 | 0.18 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.12 |
|
|
54% | 2 points | ✓ | 19.6 | 0.11 |
|
Punters
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✓ | 20.5 | 0.03 |
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✓ | 20.0 | 0.03 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 22.0 | -0.00 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 22.3 | -0.01 |
|
s10
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 22.8 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✗ | 24.0 | -0.04 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 26.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
60% | 7 points | ✗ | 29.0 | -0.31 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.