Essendon v Western Bulldogs
2020-07-17 19:50:00
Carrara

7.9

51

14.9

93

Western Bulldogs won by 42 points

IN

Cahill

Redman

Shiel

Gleeson

OUT

IN

Weightman

Young

Suckling

Crozier

McLean

Schache

West

Butler

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		53%	2 points	✓	40.3	0.07
		66%	10 points	✓	31.8	0.40
		65%	11 points	✓	30.8	0.38
		59%	6 points	✓	36.0	0.23
Punters		57%	7 points	✓	35.2	0.20
		57%	5 points	✓	36.9	0.18
		56%	7 points	✓	35.4	0.16
		56%	4 points	✓	38.0	0.16
s10		54%	3 points	✓	39.4	0.11
		52%	3 points	✓	39.0	0.06
		52%	2 points	✓	40.5	0.06
		51%	0 points	✓	42.0	0.02
		52%	2 points	✗	44.0	-0.06
		54%	3 points	✗	45.0	-0.12
		56%	6 points	✗	47.8	-0.18
		58%	8 points	✗	50.0	-0.25
		63%	10 points	✗	52.0	-0.43

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.